#22 Arkansas · 2026

Lawrence County, Arkansas

90 · extreme county distress more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties · 22nd of 75 counties in Arkansas · 16,318 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
24% Lawrence residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 13.4× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 47 words · paste-ready

Lawrence County, Arkansas is more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 24% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 22nd of 75 counties in Arkansas on the County Distress Index — 90 · extreme county distress, more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties.
  • 24% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Debt in collections at 38% — national median 23%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 10% — national median 5%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 91st percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 30-point drop to Independence County marks where the Arkansas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Lawrence County, Arkansas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Lawrence and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lawrence County is more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

Lawrence County has an extreme county distress score. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 40 words

The CDI gives this county an extreme county distress label. The score is the plain-language signal; the national rank separately shows how the county compares with every other county-equivalent in the release. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 27% of children under 18 in Lawrence County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.2% -6.5 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

21.2% -1 percentage point since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

39.0% +22 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

29.6% -4.5 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Lawrence County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lawrence County's value shown alongside AR's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Lawrence County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lawrence AR median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 85 · Rank 369 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 10% 7% 5% 91st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 9% 8% 5% 90th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 30% 31% 23% 74th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 87 · Rank 216 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 38% 32% 23% 91st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 233 214 126 83rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 50 · Rank 1,546 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 21% 21% 21% 56th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 17% 18% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 67 · Rank 857 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 26% 27% 21% 78th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 56th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 87 · Rank 117 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 27% 24% 17% 86th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 24% 22% 16% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 21% 18% 13% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 12% 8% 8% 76th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 87
Weight 20% · Rank 117 of 3,144
Default & Legal 87
Weight 20% · Rank 216 of 3,144
Delinquency 85
Weight 20% · Rank 369 of 3,144
Labor 67
Weight 20% · Rank 857 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,546 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lawrence County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 127-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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WALNUT RIDGE, Ark. — Lawrence County is more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Lawrence scores 90 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties; its score label is extreme county distress. Within Arkansas, Lawrence ranks 22nd of 75 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Lawrence. 24% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lawrence County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lawrence County scores 90 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 90% of U.S. counties. Its score label is extreme county distress. It ranks 22nd of 75 Arkansas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Lawrence County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 87. Disability rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Lawrence County compare to its neighbors?

Lawrence County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Jackson County (95.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Independence County (65.00, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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