#3 California · 2026

Kern County, California

89 · very high county distress more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties · 3rd of 58 counties in California · 913,820 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
28% Kern residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 51 words · paste-ready

Kern County, California is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 3rd of 58 counties in California on the County Distress Index — 89 · very high county distress, more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties.
  • 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 94th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 9% — national median 4%, ranked at the 99th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Subprime credit share at 31% — national median 23%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 172 — national median 126, ranked at the 67th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 58-point drop to Inyo County marks where the Central Valley distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Kern County, California and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Kern and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Kern County is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Kern County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 29 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

9.0% -1.9 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

18.6% +3 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

24.0% +13.8 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.1% -3.88 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Kern County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Kern County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Kern County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Kern CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 72 · Rank 795 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 62nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 75th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 31% 20% 23% 78th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 65 · Rank 932 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 27% 18% 23% 63rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 172 119 126 67th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 93 · Rank 92 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 28% 27% 21% 93rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 28% 26% 18% 94th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 90 · Rank 159 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 27% 23% 21% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 9% 6% 4% 99th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 54 · Rank 1,430 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 24% 16% 17% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 13% 16% 18th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 13% 13% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 50th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 93
Weight 20% · Rank 92 of 3,144
Labor 90
Weight 20% · Rank 159 of 3,144
Delinquency 72
Weight 20% · Rank 795 of 3,144
Default & Legal 65
Weight 20% · Rank 932 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,430 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Kern County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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BAKERSFIELD, Calif. — Kern County is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Kern scores 89 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties; its score label is very high county distress. Within California, Kern ranks third of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Kern. 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kern County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Kern County scores 89 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very high county distress. It ranks 3rd of 58 California counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Kern County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 93. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 94th percentile nationally.

How does Kern County compare to its neighbors?

Kern County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Tulare County (86.00, very high county distress). Lowest: Inyo County (28.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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