#38 Idaho · 2026

Valley County, Idaho

13 · very low county distress more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties · 38th of 44 counties in Idaho · 12,644 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
30% Valley residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for adults 25-54 not working — and 15.2× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Thomas County, NE — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 38 words · paste-ready

Valley County, Idaho is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Valley sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 38th of 44 counties in Idaho on the County Distress Index — 13 · very low county distress, more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties.
  • 30% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working (U.S. median 21%). Adults 25-54 not working at the 90th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Uninsured rate at 9% — national median 8%, ranked at the 58th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 5% — national median 5%, ranked at the 51st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt Burden (housing basis) domain score 14 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Valley County, Idaho and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Valley and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Valley County is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Valley County has a very low county distress score. The rank and domain mix show where the county still sits in the national cross-section.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a very low county distress label. The rank is still reported because low score intensity and relative position are different measures. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.5% -4 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

8.8% -2 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

18.6% +10.9 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

13.6% -6.45 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Valley County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Valley County's value shown alongside ID's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Valley County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Valley ID median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 21 · Rank 2,542 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 3% 5% 51st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 2% 3% 5% 5th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 14% 17% 23% 8th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 5 · Rank 3,118 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 10% 16% 23% 5th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 40 109 126 6th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 14 · Rank 2,964 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 18% 19% 21% 23rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 6% 14% 18% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 74 · Rank 620 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 30% 22% 21% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 57th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 22 · Rank 2,706 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 10% 14% 17% 12th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 16% 16% 8th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 9% 11% 13% 14th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 10% 8% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 74
Weight 20% · Rank 620 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 22
Weight 20% · Rank 2,706 of 3,144
Delinquency 21
Weight 20% · Rank 2,542 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 14
Weight 20% · Rank 2,964 of 3,144
Default & Legal 5
Weight 20% · Rank 3,118 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Valley County data.

Embed preview — paste into any CMS <iframe src="https://americandefault.org/embed/county/16085/" width="600" height="300" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="border:1px solid #e5e7eb;border-radius:8px;" title="Valley County, ID — County Distress Index"></iframe>
Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 123-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 123 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

CASCADE, Idaho — Valley County is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Valley scores 13 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties; its score label is very low county distress. Within Idaho, Valley ranks 38th of 44 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Valley sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Valley County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Valley County scores 13 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very low county distress. It ranks 38th of 44 Idaho counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Valley County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 74. Adults 25-54 not working ranks at the 90th percentile nationally.

How does Valley County compare to its neighbors?

Valley County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Custer County (40.00, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Gem County (24.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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