#79 Illinois · 2026

Carroll County, Illinois

24 · low county distress more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties · 79th of 102 counties in Illinois · 15,526 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
5% Carroll residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 8.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

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Carroll County, Illinois is more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Carroll sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 79th of 102 counties in Illinois on the County Distress Index — 24 · low county distress, more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties.
  • 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 73rd percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Poverty rate at 15% — national median 13%, ranked at the 62nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Delinquency domain score 27 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Default & Legal domain score 20 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 34-point drop to Jo Daviess County marks where the Illinois distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Carroll County, Illinois and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Carroll and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Carroll County is more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 20 words

Carroll County has a low county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 26 words

The CDI gives this county a low county distress label. The score is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.8% -0.6 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.6% +4.9 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

29.2% +21.8 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

16.8% -3.58 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Carroll County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Carroll County's value shown alongside IL's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Carroll County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Carroll IL median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 27 · Rank 2,361 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 38th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 5% 5% 23rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 17% 21% 23% 21st Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 20 · Rank 2,790 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 17% 19% 23% 25th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 58 117 126 14th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 14 · Rank 2,973 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 16% 18% 21% 8th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 12% 17% 18% 20th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 68 · Rank 834 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 23% 19% 21% 63rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 5% 4% 73rd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 48 · Rank 1,660 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 14% 17% 54th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 16% 16% 16% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 15% 12% 13% 62nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 6% 5% 8% 29th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 68
Weight 20% · Rank 834 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,660 of 3,144
Delinquency 27
Weight 20% · Rank 2,361 of 3,144
Default & Legal 20
Weight 20% · Rank 2,790 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 14
Weight 20% · Rank 2,973 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Carroll County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 123-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MOUNT CARROLL, Ill. — Carroll County is more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Carroll scores 24 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties; its score label is low county distress. Within Illinois, Carroll ranks 79th of 102 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Carroll sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Carroll County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Carroll County scores 24 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 24% of U.S. counties. Its score label is low county distress. It ranks 79th of 102 Illinois counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Carroll County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 68. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 73rd percentile nationally.

How does Carroll County compare to its neighbors?

Carroll County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Stephenson County (42.00, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Jo Daviess County (8.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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