#95 Illinois · 2026

Shelby County, Illinois

7 · exceptionally low county distress more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties · 95th of 102 counties in Illinois · 20,568 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
4% Shelby residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Near the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 7.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 39 words · paste-ready

Shelby County, Illinois is more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Shelby sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 95th of 102 counties in Illinois on the County Distress Index — 7 · exceptionally low county distress, more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties.
  • 4% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 55th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Default & Legal domain score 25 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Delinquency domain score 21 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Safety Net & Buffer domain score 21 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Shelby County, Illinois and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Shelby and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Shelby County is more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Shelby County has an exceptionally low county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 32 words

The CDI gives this county an exceptionally low county distress label. The score label is not a national ADI band; it is a county CDI score range. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.9% -2.5 percentage points since 1990
U.S. Census Bureau 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

8.8% -0.2 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

26.0% +16.7 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

17.4% -8.52 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Shelby County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Shelby County's value shown alongside IL's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Shelby County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Shelby IL median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 21 · Rank 2,552 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 27th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 5% 5% 15th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 17% 21% 23% 22nd Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 25 · Rank 2,602 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 17% 19% 23% 28th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 73 117 126 21st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 12 · Rank 2,998 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 15% 18% 21% 3rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 13% 17% 18% 21st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 33 · Rank 2,262 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 14% 19% 21% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 55th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 21 · Rank 2,727 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 11% 14% 17% 18th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 16% 16% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 9% 12% 13% 14th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 5% 8% 12th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 33
Weight 20% · Rank 2,262 of 3,144
Default & Legal 25
Weight 20% · Rank 2,602 of 3,144
Delinquency 21
Weight 20% · Rank 2,552 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 21
Weight 20% · Rank 2,727 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 12
Weight 20% · Rank 2,998 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Shelby County data.

Embed preview — paste into any CMS <iframe src="https://americandefault.org/embed/county/17173/" width="600" height="300" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="border:1px solid #e5e7eb;border-radius:8px;" title="Shelby County, IL — County Distress Index"></iframe>
Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 123-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 123 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

SHELBYVILLE, Ill. — Shelby County is more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Shelby scores 7 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties; its score label is exceptionally low county distress. Within Illinois, Shelby ranks 95th of 102 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Shelby sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Shelby County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Shelby County scores 7 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 7% of U.S. counties. Its score label is exceptionally low county distress. It ranks 95th of 102 Illinois counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Shelby County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 33. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 55th percentile nationally.

How does Shelby County compare to its neighbors?

Shelby County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Macon County (70.00, high county distress). Lowest: Effingham County (5.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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