#2,158 Illinois · 2026

Warren County, Illinois

Second-least distressed fifth 2,158th of 3,144 counties nationally · 16,185 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
4% Warren residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Near the national median for unemployment — and 13.7× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 0%).

BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)

Main Findings

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Warren County, Illinois ranks 2,158th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Warren sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,158th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-least distressed fifth, 71st in Illinois.
  • 4% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 68th percentile nationally.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 6% — national median 5%, ranked at the 55th percentile.
  • Safety Net & Buffer domain score 42 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
  • Default & Legal domain score 38 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 26-point drop to Mercer County marks where the Illinois distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Warren County, Illinois and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Warren and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Warren County ranks 2,158th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Warren County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 25 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-least distressed fifth nationally. The rank still belongs in context with state position and the highest-scoring local domain."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Warren County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Warren County's value shown alongside IL's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Warren County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Warren IL median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 44 · Rank 1,762 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 55th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 35th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 22% 21% 23% 43rd Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 38 · Rank 2,112 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 19% 19% 23% 36th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 105 117 126 39th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 9 · Rank 3,068 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 17% 18% 21% 12th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 6% 17% 18% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 68 · Rank 972 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 68th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 42 · Rank 1,869 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 16% 16% 18% 42nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 15% 16% 30th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 12% 14% 38th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 24% 26% 27% 38th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 6% 5% 8% 29th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 68
Weight 20% · Rank 972 of 3,144
Delinquency 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,762 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,869 of 3,144
Default & Legal 38
Weight 20% · Rank 2,112 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 9
Weight 20% · Rank 3,068 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Warren County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 141-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MONMOUTH, Ill. — Warren County ranks 2,158th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 40 out of 100 places Warren in the second-least distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,157 counties rank more distressed. Within Illinois, Warren ranks 71st of 102 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Warren sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Warren County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Warren County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Warren County scores 40 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-least distressed fifth. It ranks 2,158th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 71st of 102 Illinois counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Warren County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 68. Unemployment ranks at the 68th percentile nationally.

How does Warren County compare to its neighbors?

Warren County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Knox County (62.98, Second-most distressed fifth). Lowest: Mercer County (36.96, Second-least distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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