#77 Kentucky · 2026

Warren County, Kentucky

69 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties · 77th of 120 counties in Kentucky · 142,229 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
278 Warren residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

More than double the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 38.1× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

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Warren County, Kentucky is more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 278 — more than double the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 77th of 120 counties in Kentucky on the County Distress Index — 69 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 278 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 89th percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 24% — national median 18%, ranked at the 85th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Subprime credit share at 27% — national median 23%, ranked at the 65th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Poverty rate at 15% — national median 13%, ranked at the 67th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 16-point drop to Allen County marks where the Kentucky distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Warren County, Kentucky and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Warren and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Warren County is more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Warren County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.2% -3 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

15.3% +0.1 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

23.3% +13.9 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

27.2% -5.26 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Warren County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Warren County's value shown alongside KY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Warren County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Warren KY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 63 · Rank 1,129 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 63rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 59th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 27% 28% 23% 65th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 78 · Rank 470 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 28% 29% 23% 68th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 278 243 126 89th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 70 · Rank 709 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 21% 21% 21% 55th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 18% 18% 85th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 45 · Rank 1,810 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 19% 27% 21% 38th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 52nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 50 · Rank 1,585 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 22% 17% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 21% 16% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 15% 17% 13% 67th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 50th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 78
Weight 20% · Rank 470 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 70
Weight 20% · Rank 709 of 3,144
Delinquency 63
Weight 20% · Rank 1,129 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,585 of 3,144
Labor 45
Weight 20% · Rank 1,810 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Warren County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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BOWLING GREEN, Ky. — Warren County is more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Warren scores 69 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within Kentucky, Warren ranks 77th of 120 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Warren. A bankruptcy filing rate of 278 — more than double the national median of 126.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Warren County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Warren County scores 69 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 69% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 77th of 120 Kentucky counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Warren County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 78. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 89th percentile nationally.

How does Warren County compare to its neighbors?

Warren County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Barren County (82.00, very high county distress). Lowest: Allen County (66.00, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →