#11 Michigan · 2026

Lake County, Michigan

74 · high county distress more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties · 11th of 83 counties in Michigan · 12,734 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
26% Lake residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.6× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 45 words · paste-ready

Lake County, Michigan is more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 26% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 11th of 83 counties in Michigan on the County Distress Index — 74 · high county distress, more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 26% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 89th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Child poverty rate at 36% — national median 17%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 7% — national median 4%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Subprime credit share at 25% — national median 23%, ranked at the 57th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 40-point drop to Mason County marks where the Michigan distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Lake County, Michigan and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Lake and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lake County is more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Lake County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a high county distress label. The rank belongs beside the score because the two answer different questions: score intensity and national position. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 36% of children under 18 in Lake County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

7.6% -4.3 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

24.2% -2.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

46.4% +24 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

25.2% -9.96 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Lake County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lake County's value shown alongside MI's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Lake County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lake MI median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 43 · Rank 1,822 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 4% 5% 14th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 5% 5% 57th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 19% 23% 57th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 42 · Rank 1,926 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 20% 23% 50th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 94 114 126 33rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 86 · Rank 253 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 21% 21% 89th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 20% 18% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 69 · Rank 791 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 20% 22% 21% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 7% 5% 4% 95th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 85 · Rank 204 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 36% 17% 17% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 24% 17% 16% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 24% 13% 13% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 5% 8% 45th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 86
Weight 20% · Rank 253 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 85
Weight 20% · Rank 204 of 3,144
Labor 69
Weight 20% · Rank 791 of 3,144
Delinquency 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,822 of 3,144
Default & Legal 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,926 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lake County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 125-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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BALDWIN, Mich. — Lake County is more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Lake scores 74 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties; its score label is high county distress. Within Michigan, Lake ranks 11th of 83 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Lake. A rent-to-income ratio of 26% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lake County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lake County scores 74 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 74% of U.S. counties. Its score label is high county distress. It ranks 11th of 83 Michigan counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Lake County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 86. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 89th percentile nationally.

How does Lake County compare to its neighbors?

Lake County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Osceola County (78.00, high county distress). Lowest: Mason County (38.00, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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