#43 Minnesota · 2026

Dakota County, Minnesota

18 · very low county distress more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties · 43rd of 87 counties in Minnesota · 447,440 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
23% Dakota residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 42 words · paste-ready

Dakota County, Minnesota is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Dakota sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 43rd of 87 counties in Minnesota on the County Distress Index — 18 · very low county distress, more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties.
  • 23% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 79th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 215 — national median 126, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 55th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Delinquency domain score 16 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Dakota County, Minnesota and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Dakota and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Dakota County is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 24 words

Dakota County has a very low county distress score. The rank and domain mix show where the county still sits in the national cross-section.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a very low county distress label. The rank is still reported because low score intensity and relative position are different measures. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.6% 0 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

7.1% +3.4 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

14.8% +10.9 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

16.9% -4.88 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Dakota County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Dakota County's value shown alongside MN's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Dakota County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Dakota MN median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 16 · Rank 2,765 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 13th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 14th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 17% 16% 23% 21st Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 43 · Rank 1,865 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 12% 12% 23% 8th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 215 132 126 78th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 59 · Rank 1,105 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 18% 21% 39th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 23% 20% 18% 79th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 31 · Rank 2,333 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 12% 15% 21% 7th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 55th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 6 · Rank 3,079 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 7% 11% 17% 3rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 13% 16% 7th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 10% 13% 4th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 5% 8% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,105 of 3,144
Default & Legal 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,865 of 3,144
Labor 31
Weight 20% · Rank 2,333 of 3,144
Delinquency 16
Weight 20% · Rank 2,765 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 6
Weight 20% · Rank 3,079 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Dakota County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 123-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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HASTINGS, Minn. — Dakota County is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Dakota scores 18 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties; its score label is very low county distress. Within Minnesota, Dakota ranks 43rd of 87 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Dakota sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Dakota County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Dakota County scores 18 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very low county distress. It ranks 43rd of 87 Minnesota counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Dakota County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 59. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 79th percentile nationally.

How does Dakota County compare to its neighbors?

Dakota County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Ramsey County (45.00, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Pierce County, WI (5.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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