#6 Missouri · 2026

St. Louis city, Missouri

94 · extreme county distress more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties · 6th of 115 counties in Missouri · 281,754 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
479 St. Louis residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

4× the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 65.6× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 46 words · paste-ready

St. Louis city, Missouri is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 479 — more than double the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 6th of 115 counties in Missouri on the County Distress Index — 94 · extreme county distress, more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 479 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 98th percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 11% — national median 5%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Child poverty rate at 32% — national median 17%, ranked at the 94th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI score labels. The 28-point drop to Madison County, IL marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. St. Louis city, Missouri and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
St. Louis city and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. St. Louis city is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 20 words

St. Louis city has an extreme county distress score. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 39 words

The CDI gives this county an extreme county distress label. The score is the plain-language signal; the national rank separately shows how the county compares with every other county-equivalent in the release. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 32% of children under 18 in St. Louis city live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.6% -3.9 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

21.8% -8.8 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

22.4% +11.1 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.9% -6 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind St. Louis city's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. St. Louis city's value shown alongside MO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is St. Louis city's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator St. Louis city MO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 84 · Rank 411 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 11% 6% 5% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 76th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 32% 24% 23% 80th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 95 · Rank 49 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 38% 24% 23% 92nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 479 118 126 98th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 89 · Rank 182 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 20% 21% 97th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 16% 18% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 49 · Rank 1,648 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 19% 22% 21% 37th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 61st U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 78 · Rank 473 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 32% 18% 17% 94th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 17% 16% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 22% 14% 13% 92nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 10% 8% 61st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 49 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 89
Weight 20% · Rank 182 of 3,144
Delinquency 84
Weight 20% · Rank 411 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 78
Weight 20% · Rank 473 of 3,144
Labor 49
Weight 20% · Rank 1,648 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite St. Louis city data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 134-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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ST. LOUIS, Mo. — St. Louis city is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

St. Louis city scores 94 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties; its score label is extreme county distress. Within Missouri, St. Louis city ranks sixth of 115 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in St. Louis. A bankruptcy filing rate of 479 — more than double the national median of 126.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is St. Louis city's CDI score, and what does it mean?

St. Louis city scores 94 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties. Its score label is extreme county distress. It ranks 6th of 115 Missouri counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives St. Louis city's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 95. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 98th percentile nationally.

How does St. Louis city compare to its neighbors?

St. Louis city's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: St. Clair County, IL (68.00, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: St. Louis County (40.00, moderate-low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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