#14 Montana · 2026

Hill County, Montana

37 · low-moderate county distress more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties · 14th of 56 counties in Montana · 16,276 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
25% Hill residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

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Hill County, Montana is more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Hill sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 14th of 56 counties in Montana on the County Distress Index — 37 · low-moderate county distress, more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 25% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 83rd percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Poverty rate at 15% — national median 13%, ranked at the 63rd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 23% — national median 21%, ranked at the 62nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Subprime credit share at 24% — national median 23%, ranked at the 54th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 34-point drop to Liberty County marks where the Montana distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Hill County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Hill and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Hill County is more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Hill County has a low-moderate county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a low-moderate county distress label. The label comes from the score, while the rank compares the county with the current national cross-section. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.2% -2.3 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.8% -3 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

25.1% +16.4 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

24.3% -6.25 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Hill County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Hill County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Hill County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Hill MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 37 · Rank 2,017 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 14th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 3% 5% 43rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 16% 23% 54th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 28 · Rank 2,483 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 15% 23% 49th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 43 73 126 7th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 58 · Rank 1,143 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 25% 24% 21% 83rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 15% 14% 18% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 44 · Rank 1,867 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 23% 17% 21% 62nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 3% 3% 4% 26th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 48 · Rank 1,647 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 17% 16% 17% 48th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 16% 16% 15th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 15% 12% 13% 63rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 8% 8% 54th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 58
Weight 20% · Rank 1,143 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,647 of 3,144
Labor 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,867 of 3,144
Delinquency 37
Weight 20% · Rank 2,017 of 3,144
Default & Legal 28
Weight 20% · Rank 2,483 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Hill County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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HAVRE, Mont. — Hill County is more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Hill scores 37 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties; its score label is low-moderate county distress. Within Montana, Hill ranks 14th of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Hill sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Hill County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Hill County scores 37 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 37% of U.S. counties. Its score label is low-moderate county distress. It ranks 14th of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Hill County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 58. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 83rd percentile nationally.

How does Hill County compare to its neighbors?

Hill County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Blaine County (54.00, moderate county distress). Lowest: Liberty County (20.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →