#43 Montana · 2026

Prairie County, Montana

13 · very low county distress more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties · 43rd of 56 counties in Montana · 1,112 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
30% Prairie residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 3.0× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

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Prairie County, Montana is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Prairie sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 43rd of 56 counties in Montana on the County Distress Index — 13 · very low county distress, more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 30% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Safety Net & Buffer domain score 36 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Default & Legal domain score 13 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Delinquency domain score 13 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Prairie County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Prairie and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Prairie County is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Prairie County has a very low county distress score. The rank and domain mix show where the county still sits in the national cross-section.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a very low county distress label. The rank is still reported because low score intensity and relative position are different measures. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

1.9% -2 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

11.2% -6.6 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

30.8% +17.1 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

13.0% -3.24 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Prairie County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Prairie County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Prairie County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Prairie MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 13 · Rank 2,886 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 16th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 16th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 13% 16% 23% 6th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 13 · Rank 2,966 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 9% 15% 23% 5th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 73 73 126 21st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 69 · Rank 745 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 24% 21% 95th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 14% 18% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 5 · Rank 3,083 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 12% 17% 21% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 2% 3% 4% 5th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 36 · Rank 2,150 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 15% 16% 17% 38th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 16% 16% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 11% 12% 13% 32nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 8% 8% 15th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 69
Weight 20% · Rank 745 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 36
Weight 20% · Rank 2,150 of 3,144
Default & Legal 13
Weight 20% · Rank 2,966 of 3,144
Delinquency 13
Weight 20% · Rank 2,886 of 3,144
Labor 5
Weight 20% · Rank 3,083 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Prairie County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 123-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 123 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

TERRY, Mont. — Prairie County is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Prairie scores 13 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties; its score label is very low county distress. Within Montana, Prairie ranks 43rd of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Prairie sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Prairie County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Prairie County scores 13 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 13% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very low county distress. It ranks 43rd of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Prairie County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 69. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Prairie County compare to its neighbors?

Prairie County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Custer County (39.00, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Fallon County (6.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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