#13 New Jersey · 2026

Middlesex County, New Jersey

40 · moderate-low county distress more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties · 13th of 21 counties in New Jersey · 863,623 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
28% Middlesex residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.7× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 47 words · paste-ready

Middlesex County, New Jersey is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 28% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 13th of 21 counties in New Jersey on the County Distress Index — 40 · moderate-low county distress, more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 28% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 92nd percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 73rd percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 136 — national median 126, ranked at the 55th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Default & Legal domain score 37 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 39-point drop to Somerset County marks where the New Jersey distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Middlesex County, New Jersey and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Middlesex and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Middlesex County is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Middlesex County has a moderate-low county distress score. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-low county distress label. The state rank and highest-scoring local domain add context that the composite alone cannot carry. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.2% +0.7 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

8.3% +3.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

14.3% +8.7 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

19.7% -3.37 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Middlesex County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Middlesex County's value shown alongside NJ's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Middlesex County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Middlesex NJ median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 37 · Rank 2,001 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 5% 5% 41st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 38th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 20% 22% 23% 33rd Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 37 · Rank 2,144 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 15% 18% 23% 19th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 136 146 126 55th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 82 · Rank 350 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 28% 26% 21% 92nd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 26% 18% 73rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 52 · Rank 1,489 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 18% 18% 21% 32nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 5% 4% 73rd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 14 · Rank 2,914 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 10% 12% 17% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 10% 12% 16% 4th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 8% 9% 13% 10th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 5% 8% 44th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 82
Weight 20% · Rank 350 of 3,144
Labor 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,489 of 3,144
Delinquency 37
Weight 20% · Rank 2,001 of 3,144
Default & Legal 37
Weight 20% · Rank 2,144 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 14
Weight 20% · Rank 2,914 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Middlesex County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 127-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 127 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

NEW BRUNSWICK, N.J. — Middlesex County is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Middlesex scores 40 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-low county distress. Within New Jersey, Middlesex ranks 13th of 21 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Middlesex. A rent-to-income ratio of 28% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Middlesex County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Middlesex County scores 40 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-low county distress. It ranks 13th of 21 New Jersey counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Middlesex County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 82. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 92nd percentile nationally.

How does Middlesex County compare to its neighbors?

Middlesex County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Union County (58.00, moderate county distress). Lowest: Somerset County (19.00, very low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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