#23 New Mexico · 2026

Guadalupe County, New Mexico

60 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties · 23rd of 33 counties in New Mexico · 4,292 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
24% Guadalupe residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 13.1× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 47 words · paste-ready

Guadalupe County, New Mexico is more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 24% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 23rd of 33 counties in New Mexico on the County Distress Index — 60 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties.
  • 24% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 94th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 86th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 76th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Credit card delinquency at 9% — national median 5%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while credit card delinquency runs at the 91st percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 21-point drop to De Baca County marks where the New Mexico distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Guadalupe County, New Mexico and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Guadalupe and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Guadalupe County is more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Guadalupe County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Auto loan delinquency sits well below the rest of the Delinquency domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to Urban Institute Debt in America (2025), Guadalupe County's auto loan delinquency indicator is at the 5th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Delinquency domain at or above the 61st percentile. The gap stands out against credit card delinquency. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Santa Rosa.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.2% -7.9 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

22.3% -11.1 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

40.7% +26.4 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

26.0% -22.98 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Guadalupe County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Guadalupe County's value shown alongside NM's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Guadalupe County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Guadalupe NM median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 52 · Rank 1,482 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 2% 5% 5% 5th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 9% 6% 5% 91st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 26% 26% 23% 61st Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 42 · Rank 1,898 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 32% 28% 23% 80th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 23 65 126 5th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 60 · Rank 1,082 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 24% 21% 86th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 15% 19% 18% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 55 · Rank 1,387 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 18% 27% 21% 33rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 5% 4% 76th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 77 · Rank 518 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 25% 25% 17% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 24% 20% 16% 94th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 22% 18% 13% 93rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 9% 8% 20th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 77
Weight 20% · Rank 518 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,082 of 3,144
Labor 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,387 of 3,144
Delinquency 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,482 of 3,144
Default & Legal 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,898 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Guadalupe County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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SANTA ROSA, N.M. — Guadalupe County is more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Guadalupe scores 60 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within New Mexico, Guadalupe ranks 23rd of 33 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Guadalupe. 24% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guadalupe County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Guadalupe County scores 60 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 60% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 23rd of 33 New Mexico counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Guadalupe County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 77. Disability rate ranks at the 94th percentile nationally.

How does Guadalupe County compare to its neighbors?

Guadalupe County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: San Miguel County (76.00, high county distress). Lowest: De Baca County (55.00, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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