#18 North Carolina · 2026

Warren County, North Carolina

84 · very high county distress more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties · 18th of 100 counties in North Carolina · 18,836 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
22% Warren residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 12.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

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Warren County, North Carolina is more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 22% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 18th of 100 counties in North Carolina on the County Distress Index — 84 · very high county distress, more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties.
  • 22% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 89th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Credit card delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 85th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt in collections at 32% — national median 23%, ranked at the 81st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 70th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 37-point drop to Mecklenburg County, VA marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Warren County, North Carolina and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Warren and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Warren County is more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Warren County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 29 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 28% of children under 18 in Warren County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.9% -2.1 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

20.1% -7.3 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

39.0% +24.7 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

30.5% -10.32 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Warren County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Warren County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Warren County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Warren NC median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 81 · Rank 509 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 81st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 85th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 30% 28% 23% 76th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 75 · Rank 566 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 32% 27% 23% 81st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 180 87 126 70th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 45 · Rank 1,755 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 22% 21% 63rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 14% 20% 18% 28th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 67 · Rank 887 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 23% 22% 21% 63rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 70th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 84 · Rank 250 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 28% 20% 17% 88th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 22% 17% 16% 89th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 14% 13% 88th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 10% 8% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 84
Weight 20% · Rank 250 of 3,144
Delinquency 81
Weight 20% · Rank 509 of 3,144
Default & Legal 75
Weight 20% · Rank 566 of 3,144
Labor 67
Weight 20% · Rank 887 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 45
Weight 20% · Rank 1,755 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Warren County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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WARRENTON, N.C. — Warren County is more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Warren scores 84 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties; its score label is very high county distress. Within North Carolina, Warren ranks 18th of 100 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Warren. 22% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Warren County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Warren County scores 84 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 84% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very high county distress. It ranks 18th of 100 North Carolina counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Warren County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 84. Disability rate ranks at the 89th percentile nationally.

How does Warren County compare to its neighbors?

Warren County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Halifax County (98.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Mecklenburg County, VA (61.00, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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