#24 Ohio · 2026

Guernsey County, Ohio

65 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties · 24th of 88 counties in Ohio · 38,089 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
5% Guernsey residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 8.7× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 53 words · paste-ready

Guernsey County, Ohio is more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 24th of 88 counties in Ohio on the County Distress Index — 65 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties.
  • 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 71st percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 12% — national median 8%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 184 — national median 126, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 6% — national median 5%, ranked at the 66th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 28-point drop to Noble County marks where the Ohio distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Guernsey County, Ohio and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Guernsey and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Guernsey County is more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Guernsey County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.9% -2.8 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.8% -3.4 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

32.1% +19.5 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

24.8% -6.71 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Guernsey County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Guernsey County's value shown alongside OH's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Guernsey County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Guernsey OH median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 58 · Rank 1,278 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 5% 5% 66th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 5% 5% 52nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 24% 23% 56th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 61 · Rank 1,046 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 24% 23% 52nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 184 187 126 71st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 47 · Rank 1,693 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 19% 19% 21% 33rd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 20% 19% 18% 60th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 66 · Rank 927 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 22% 20% 21% 60th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 71st U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 63 · Rank 1,069 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 19% 16% 17% 60th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 16% 16% 59th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 14% 12% 13% 55th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 12% 6% 8% 78th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 66
Weight 20% · Rank 927 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 63
Weight 20% · Rank 1,069 of 3,144
Default & Legal 61
Weight 20% · Rank 1,046 of 3,144
Delinquency 58
Weight 20% · Rank 1,278 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 47
Weight 20% · Rank 1,693 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Guernsey County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 132-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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CAMBRIDGE, Ohio — Guernsey County is more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Guernsey scores 65 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within Ohio, Guernsey ranks 24th of 88 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Guernsey. 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guernsey County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Guernsey County scores 65 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 65% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 24th of 88 Ohio counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Guernsey County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 66. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 71st percentile nationally.

How does Guernsey County compare to its neighbors?

Guernsey County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Belmont County (67.00, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Noble County (39.00, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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