#25 Oregon · 2026

Union County, Oregon

49 · moderate-low county distress more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties · 25th of 36 counties in Oregon · 25,944 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
5% Union residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 9.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

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Union County, Oregon is more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Delinquency.

Key Findings
  • 25th of 36 counties in Oregon on the County Distress Index — 49 · moderate-low county distress, more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties.
  • 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 85th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Disability rate at 19% — national median 16%, ranked at the 72nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 20% — national median 18%, ranked at the 64th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 131 — national median 126, ranked at the 52nd percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 19-point drop to Wallowa County marks where the Oregon distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Union County, Oregon and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Union and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Union County is more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Union County has a moderate-low county distress score. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 30 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-low county distress label. The state rank and highest-scoring local domain add context that the composite alone cannot carry. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.7% -1.1 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.3% +0.3 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

32.5% +22 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

19.8% -8.02 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Union County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Union County's value shown alongside OR's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Union County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Union OR median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 35 · Rank 2,087 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 36th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 35th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 20% 19% 23% 33rd Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 40 · Rank 1,990 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 17% 17% 23% 28th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 131 179 126 52nd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 52 · Rank 1,394 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 22% 21% 41st U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 20% 23% 18% 64th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 69 · Rank 800 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 21% 23% 21% 53rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 5% 4% 85th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 54 · Rank 1,399 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 17% 16% 17% 51st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 18% 16% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 14% 13% 13% 59th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 6% 8% 41st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 69
Weight 20% · Rank 800 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,399 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,394 of 3,144
Default & Legal 40
Weight 20% · Rank 1,990 of 3,144
Delinquency 35
Weight 20% · Rank 2,087 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Union County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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LA GRANDE, Ore. — Union County is more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Union scores 49 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-low county distress. Within Oregon, Union ranks 25th of 36 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Union. 5% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Union County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Union County scores 49 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 49% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-low county distress. It ranks 25th of 36 Oregon counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Union County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 69. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 85th percentile nationally.

How does Union County compare to its neighbors?

Union County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Grant County (52.00, moderate county distress). Lowest: Wallowa County (33.00, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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