Forest County, Pennsylvania
Above the national median for poverty rate — and 6.0× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Los Alamos County, NM — 4%).
Main Findings
Forest County, Pennsylvania is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 23% of residents live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 13%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Delinquency.
- 33rd of 67 counties in Pennsylvania on the County Distress Index — 40 · moderate-low county distress, more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties.
- 23% of residents live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 13%). Poverty rate at the 94th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
- Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 6% — national median 4%, ranked at the 92nd percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
- Rent-to-income ratio at 22% — national median 21%, ranked at the 63rd percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
- Default & Legal domain score 23 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 32-point drop to Elk County marks where the Pennsylvania distress corridor ends.
Forest County has a moderate-low county distress score. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context.
The CDI gives this county a moderate-low county distress label. The state rank and highest-scoring local domain add context that the composite alone cannot carry. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.
Reporter's Notes
Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.
According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Forest County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 36th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 82nd percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate and disability rate. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Tionesta.
According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 28% of children under 18 in Forest County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.
Indicator History
Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.
Unemployment rate
Poverty rate
Transfer income share
Subprime credit population
The Indicators Behind Forest County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Forest County's value shown alongside PA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Forest | PA median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delinquency — domain score 21 · Rank 2,563 of 3,144 | |||||
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 4% | 4% | 5% | 40th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 3% | 5% | 5% | 17th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 12% | 20% | 23% | 5th | Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025) |
| Default & Legal — domain score 23 · Rank 2,686 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 18% | 20% | 23% | 30th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 62 | 98 | 126 | 16th | Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025) |
| Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 34 · Rank 2,276 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 22% | 21% | 21% | 63rd | U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 5% | 19% | 18% | 5th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Labor — domain score 67 · Rank 871 of 3,144 | |||||
| Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) | 19% | 19% | 21% | 42nd | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) | 6% | 4% | 4% | 92nd | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025) |
| Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 78 · Rank 459 of 3,144 | |||||
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 28% | 15% | 17% | 90th | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 22% | 16% | 16% | 90th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 23% | 12% | 13% | 94th | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 6% | 6% | 8% | 36th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.
Methodology
The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Forest County data.
Draft wire copy 129-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
TIONESTA, Pa. — Forest County is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
Forest scores 40 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 40% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-low county distress. Within Pennsylvania, Forest ranks 33rd of 67 counties.
The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Forest. 23% of residents live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 13%.
American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Forest County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
What drives Forest County's distress score?
How does Forest County compare to its neighbors?
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
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