#2,451 Virginia · 2026

Frederick County, Virginia

Second-least distressed fifth 2,451st of 3,144 counties nationally · 95,994 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
18% Frederick residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Near the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

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Frederick County, Virginia ranks 2,451st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Frederick sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,451st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-least distressed fifth, 111th in Virginia.
  • 18% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 49th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 154 — national median 126, ranked at the 61st percentile.
  • Transfer-income dependency at 28% — national median 27%, ranked at the 54th percentile.
  • Labor domain score 31 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI distress fifths. The 26-point drop to Clarke County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Frederick County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Frederick and its 9 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Frederick County ranks 2,451st of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Frederick County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 25 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-least distressed fifth nationally. The rank still belongs in context with state position and the highest-scoring local domain."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Frederick County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Frederick County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Frederick County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Frederick VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 32 · Rank 2,181 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 6% 5% 27th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 36th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 20% 25% 23% 32nd Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 42 · Rank 1,922 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 16% 22% 23% 22nd Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 154 177 126 61st US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 47 · Rank 1,703 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 22% 21% 45th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 18% 19% 18% 49th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 31 · Rank 2,214 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 3% 4% 31st BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 20 · Rank 2,766 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 8% 18% 18% 6th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 15% 16% 14th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 13% 14% 5th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 28% 28% 27% 54th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 7% 8% 43rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 47
Weight 20% · Rank 1,703 of 3,144
Default & Legal 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,922 of 3,144
Delinquency 32
Weight 20% · Rank 2,181 of 3,144
Labor 31
Weight 20% · Rank 2,214 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 20
Weight 20% · Rank 2,766 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Frederick County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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WINCHESTER, Va. — Frederick County ranks 2,451st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 34 out of 100 places Frederick in the second-least distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,450 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Frederick ranks 111th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Frederick sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Frederick County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Frederick County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Frederick County scores 34 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-least distressed fifth. It ranks 2,451st of 3,144 U.S. counties and 111th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Frederick County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 47. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 49th percentile nationally.

How does Frederick County compare to its neighbors?

Frederick County's neighbors span 4 CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Winchester city (57.44, Second-most distressed fifth). Lowest: Clarke County (31.58, Least distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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