#25 Washington · 2026

Lincoln County, Washington

39 · low-moderate county distress more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties · 25th of 39 counties in Washington · 11,738 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Lincoln residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 10.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 38 words · paste-ready

Lincoln County, Washington is more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Lincoln sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 25th of 39 counties in Washington on the County Distress Index — 39 · low-moderate county distress, more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties.
  • 6% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 91st percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Disability rate at 21% — national median 16%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 21% — national median 21%, ranked at the 52nd percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Delinquency domain score 30 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 30-point drop to Whitman County marks where the eastern Washington distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Lincoln County, Washington and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Lincoln and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lincoln County is more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Lincoln County has a low-moderate county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 32 words

The CDI gives this county a low-moderate county distress label. The label comes from the score, while the rank compares the county with the current national cross-section. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Uninsured rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Lincoln County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 5th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 50th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Davenport.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.8% +2 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.2% +2.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

31.4% +24.4 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

14.5% -2.57 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Lincoln County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lincoln County's value shown alongside WA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Lincoln County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lincoln WA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 30 · Rank 2,267 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 3% 5% 32nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 4% 5% 46th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 15% 17% 23% 10th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 24 · Rank 2,628 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 16% 15% 23% 25th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 77 113 126 23rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 34 · Rank 2,308 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 21% 23% 21% 52nd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 11% 22% 18% 15th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 82 · Rank 396 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 25% 23% 21% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 6% 5% 4% 91st U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 51 · Rank 1,555 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 14% 17% 54th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 21% 16% 16% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 13% 12% 13% 50th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 3% 6% 8% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 82
Weight 20% · Rank 396 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 51
Weight 20% · Rank 1,555 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 34
Weight 20% · Rank 2,308 of 3,144
Delinquency 30
Weight 20% · Rank 2,267 of 3,144
Default & Legal 24
Weight 20% · Rank 2,628 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lincoln County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 122-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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DAVENPORT, Wash. — Lincoln County is more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Lincoln scores 39 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties; its score label is low-moderate county distress. Within Washington, Lincoln ranks 25th of 39 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Lincoln sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lincoln County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lincoln County scores 39 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 39% of U.S. counties. Its score label is low-moderate county distress. It ranks 25th of 39 Washington counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Lincoln County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 82. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 91st percentile nationally.

How does Lincoln County compare to its neighbors?

Lincoln County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Adams County (68.00, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Whitman County (38.00, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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