#3 Arizona · 2026

Santa Cruz County, Arizona

89 · very high county distress more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties · 3rd of 15 counties in Arizona · 49,158 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
7% Santa Cruz residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 13.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

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Santa Cruz County, Arizona is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 7% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 3rd of 15 counties in Arizona on the County Distress Index — 89 · very high county distress, more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties.
  • 7% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 97th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Credit card delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 15% — national median 8%, ranked at the 90th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 22% — national median 18%, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
County Distress Index cluster map. Santa Cruz County, Arizona and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Santa Cruz and its 2 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Santa Cruz County is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Santa Cruz County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 26 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Disability rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Santa Cruz County's disability rate indicator is at the 25th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 78th percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate and uninsured rate. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Nogales.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 26% of children under 18 in Santa Cruz County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

6.8% -6.6 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

17.4% -4.8 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

27.4% +18.9 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

28.6% -8.47 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Santa Cruz County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Santa Cruz County's value shown alongside AZ's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Santa Cruz County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Santa Cruz AZ median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 75 · Rank 675 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 78th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 78th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 29% 26% 23% 71st Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 67 · Rank 859 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 25% 26% 23% 58th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 199 128 126 75th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 67 · Rank 820 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 24% 21% 62nd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 18% 18% 71st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 91 · Rank 140 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 28% 27% 21% 85th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 7% 5% 4% 97th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 71 · Rank 748 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 26% 20% 17% 86th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 13% 16% 16% 25th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 15% 13% 78th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 15% 11% 8% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 91
Weight 20% · Rank 140 of 3,144
Delinquency 75
Weight 20% · Rank 675 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 71
Weight 20% · Rank 748 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 67
Weight 20% · Rank 820 of 3,144
Default & Legal 67
Weight 20% · Rank 859 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Santa Cruz County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 137-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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NOGALES, Ariz. — Santa Cruz County is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Santa Cruz scores 89 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties; its score label is very high county distress. Within Arizona, Santa Cruz ranks third of 15 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Santa Cruz. 7% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Santa Cruz County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Santa Cruz County scores 89 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 89% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very high county distress. It ranks 3rd of 15 Arizona counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Santa Cruz County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 91. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 97th percentile nationally.

How does Santa Cruz County compare to its neighbors?

Santa Cruz County's neighbors span 1 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Cochise County (71.00, high county distress). Lowest: Pima County (70.00, high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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