#25 California · 2026

Mendocino County, California

62 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties · 25th of 58 counties in California · 89,108 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Mendocino residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 10.7× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

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Mendocino County, California is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 25th of 58 counties in California on the County Distress Index — 62 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties.
  • 6% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 90th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Disability rate at 19% — national median 16%, ranked at the 72nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Delinquency domain score 32 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span 6 CDI score labels. The 63-point drop to Sonoma County marks where the California North Coast distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Mendocino County, California and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Mendocino and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Mendocino County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Mendocino County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.9% -1.7 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.4% -0.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

33.6% +20.8 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

18.6% -2.94 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Mendocino County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Mendocino County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Mendocino County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Mendocino CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 32 · Rank 2,167 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 4% 5% 24th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 46th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 19% 20% 23% 28th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 28 · Rank 2,465 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 19% 18% 23% 34th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 76 119 126 23rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 84 · Rank 299 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 27% 21% 97th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 26% 18% 71st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 90 · Rank 162 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 30% 23% 21% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 6% 6% 4% 90th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 54 · Rank 1,418 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 17% 16% 17% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 13% 16% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 13% 13% 13% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 90
Weight 20% · Rank 162 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 84
Weight 20% · Rank 299 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,418 of 3,144
Delinquency 32
Weight 20% · Rank 2,167 of 3,144
Default & Legal 28
Weight 20% · Rank 2,465 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Mendocino County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 132-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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UKIAH, Calif. — Mendocino County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Mendocino scores 62 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within California, Mendocino ranks 25th of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Mendocino. 6% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Mendocino County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Mendocino County scores 62 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 25th of 58 California counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Mendocino County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 90. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 90th percentile nationally.

How does Mendocino County compare to its neighbors?

Mendocino County's neighbors span 6 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Lake County (92.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Sonoma County (29.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →