The Rebuilding County
Wayne County, Missouri
· Annual refresh · next update early 2027
Wayne County keeps being unmade. The town was drowned for a dam. The courthouse burned three times. A tornado killed six people in 2025. Each time, people rebuilt. The structural poverty score stayed first in Missouri.
What the CDI Says About Wayne County
- 179th most distressed county in America — Wayne County scores 75.23 on the American Default Research County Distress Index (CDI), Serious zone, top 6% of 3,144 counties. Fifth most distressed in Missouri.
- Structural Poverty: first in Missouri — Wayne's Structural Poverty score of 92.78 is the highest of any of the state's 115 counties and 39th of 3,144 nationally.
- 29.1% disability rate — 95th percentile of distress nationally. Nearly one in three adults. Healthcare is the county's largest employment sector (803 of 3,913 employed people) — not because the population is healthy, but because it isn't.
- 34.4% of residents have debt in collections, with a median balance of $2,479. Bankruptcy filings run 222 per 100,000 residents, 92% Chapter 7 liquidation.
- Every CDI domain registers Elevated or worse. Legal Distress 80.25. Consumer Credit Distress 78.19. Economic Vitality 73.59. Even Housing Cost Burden, the lowest, scores 57.21. There is no domain holding the line.
Wayne County, Missouri ranks 179th of 3,144 U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Highest Structural Poverty score in Missouri. 29.1% disability rate. The county keeps rebuilding. The foundation stays the same.
Wayne County keeps rebuilding. The courthouse burned three times. They rebuilt it. The town was drowned for a dam. They moved it. The tornado took six lives and left concrete steps where houses stood. Structural Poverty alone scores 92.78. If disability rates hold and wages stay where they are, the score doesn't move. The rebuilding keeps happening. The foundation stays the same.
A county rebuilt three times
On the night of March 14, 2025, a tornado tore through Wayne County, Missouri. Six people died. Matt and Mary McFadden were killed in their home near Piedmont. Their daughter Malarie Littles came back to find the house gone. "All that's left," she told KFVS12, "is a concrete step and the concrete it sits on."
Three uncracked eggs sat in what had been the kitchen.
Wayne County has been here before. Not the tornado specifically. The rebuilding. The county seat of Greenville was physically relocated two miles in 1941 when the Army Corps of Engineers dammed the St. Francis River and drowned the original town. The courthouse burned three times in the nineteenth century — 1854, 1866, 1892. Each time, the records were lost. Each time, the county rebuilt.
The rebuilding is the pattern. What never rebuilds is the foundation underneath it.
Every domain Elevated or worse
Wayne County scores 75.23 on the County Distress Index. Serious zone. 179th of 3,144 counties nationally — top 6%. Fifth most distressed county in Missouri, behind two Bootheel counties, Dunklin in the Mississippi Delta, and Ripley County directly to the south. Missouri's median county scores 47.7 — Normal zone. Wayne County is invisible in the state aggregate the way a stress fracture is invisible in an X-ray of the whole skeleton.
What defines the place isn't any single metric. It's that every dimension of financial distress is elevated at once. Structural Poverty leads at 92.78 — the highest score of any Missouri county, 39th of 3,144 nationally. Legal Distress sits at 80.25. Consumer Credit Distress at 78.19. Economic Vitality at 73.59. Even Housing Cost Burden, the lowest domain, scores 57.21 — well above the national median. There is no sector pulling the average down. There is no domain holding the line.
Median household income is $41,315. The poverty rate is 22.4%. One in three children — 32.2% — lives below the poverty line. These numbers have been roughly this shape for decades. The tornado didn't create the distress. It landed on top of it.
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Disability as the primary story
Structural Poverty — at 92.78, first of all 115 Missouri counties and 39th of 3,144 nationally — is where Wayne County separates from most other distressed counties. Three of its underlying indicators tie at the 95th percentile of distress: the disability rate, the share of personal income from government transfers, and median household income relative to the state median. The disability rate is 29.1%. Nearly one in three adults.
Across the county narratives I've written so far, I keep expecting disability to be a secondary indicator, a footnote below the debt numbers or the poverty rate. In Wayne County it's the primary story. An economy where 29% of the adult population has a disability is shaped by that fact at every level — what jobs exist, what healthcare infrastructure is required, what public assistance programs carry the weight.
Healthcare is the county's largest employment sector. 803 of 3,913 employed people. The sector isn't the largest employer because the population is healthy. It's the largest employer because the population isn't. There is no general hospital within the county — the nearest facility is in Poplar Bluff, roughly 30 miles south. Wayne County is a Health Professional Shortage Area.
SNAP participation: 18.0%. Uninsured: 13.9%. The safety net exists. It's also at capacity.
Collections, bankruptcy, and $732 a week
The debt picture is less extreme than Pemiscot County's, but the mechanism is the same. 34.4% of Wayne County residents have debt in collections. Median debt in collections: $2,479. Credit card delinquency: 8.16%. Auto loan delinquency: 8.19%. Medical debt as a share of all debt in collections: 6.41%.
The bankruptcy rate is 222 per 100,000 residents. Ninety-two percent Chapter 7 — liquidation. Not the kind where you reorganize and keep the house. The kind where there is nothing left to reorganize.
Average weekly wage: $732. That's $38,066 annualized. The county has 388 employers. Business applications run 25% below the national rate and haven't closed the gap.
Here's what I don't know about Wayne County. The employment numbers look functional. Unemployment is 5.1% — elevated but not catastrophic. People are working. They're earning $732 a week. And one in three of their neighbors has a disability, one in three of their children is in poverty, and a third of the county has debt in collections. Whether this is an economy that's failing slowly or one that stabilized at a level most Americans wouldn't recognize as stability — I can't tell from the data alone.
Gads Hill to the UFO Capital
In January 1874, Jesse James and his gang robbed a train at Gads Hill, in northwestern Wayne County. They checked every passenger's hands for calluses. The ones with rough hands — the working people — they let keep their money. The story became myth. A historical marker along Highway 49 is all that remains.
One hundred and fifty years later, Wayne County's working people sit in the top 6% of America for financial distress and the top 1% for structural poverty. The calluses didn't help.
What the county still has: Sam A. Baker State Park, 5,323 acres in the St. Francois Mountains, celebrating its centennial in 2026. CCC crews built the stone-and-wood dining lodge and most of the park's cabins in the 1930s — the most substantial structures the federal government has ever built here, and they've outlasted the county's population, which peaked at 15,309 in 1900 and has fallen 30% since. Clearwater Lake draws weekend tourism at 90-95% campground occupancy. But Ken Schultheis, who owns Clearwater Lake Resort, puts it plainly: "We are completely booked on weekends, but during the week, bookings are on the decline."
What the county has lost: Centerville R-I School District — 34 students, $19,900 per pupil, a million-dollar budget for a school that couldn't stay open. The consolidation vote failed. The educational services agreement failed. Eventually the district sent its students to Ellington, 15 miles away, because the alternative was dissolution. The tax rate in Centerville was $4.55. In Ellington, $3.86. The parents got a tax cut. Their children lost their school.
In 2023, the Missouri General Assembly designated Wayne County the "UFO Capital of Missouri," citing decades of sightings near Piedmont that began in 1973. The bill, sponsored by Representative Chris Dinkins, was framed as economic development through tourism.
A county with a 29.1% disability rate. A 22.4% poverty rate. A CDI score of 75.23 and the highest structural poverty score in Missouri. And the state legislature's economic development contribution was a UFO park.
The park is sincere. Tourism brings weekend revenue. It doesn't bring a hospital or employers who pay more than $732 a week. The math is still wrong.
The distress is regional
Six of Wayne County's seven neighbors score Elevated or Serious; only Reynolds, to the west, sits in Normal. The range runs from 49.1 to 70.0 — Wayne is the highest by more than five points, and five of those seven have Structural Poverty as their worst-performing domain, the same pattern of disability, transfer income, and below-median household income that defines this stretch of the Ozarks. Wayne County keeps rebuilding. The courthouse burned three times. They rebuilt it. The town was drowned for a dam. They moved it. The tornado took six lives and left concrete steps where houses stood, and FEMA sent $3.8 million across 18 counties. Sheriff Kyle Shearrer, three months into his job, stood in the debris and said what the data already showed: "You get so many warnings, nothing ever happens. And this time it happened." Structural Poverty alone scores 92.78. If disability rates hold and wages stay where they are, the score doesn't move. The rebuilding keeps happening. The foundation stays the same.
Wayne County Across the CDI's Five Domains
The CDI measures five domains of financial distress. Wayne County is unusual because every domain registers Elevated or worse — there is no low-scoring domain pulling the composite down. Structural Poverty leads at 92.78, the highest of any Missouri county and 39th of 3,144 nationally, driven by a 22.4% poverty rate, $41,315 median household income, and a 29.1% disability rate that hits the 95th percentile of distress. Legal Distress (80.25), Consumer Credit Distress (78.19), and Economic Vitality (73.59) all sit in the Serious or Crisis range. Even Housing Cost Burden, the lowest domain, scores 57.21.
Methodology & Weights
The County Distress Index uses principal component analysis to derive five factors from 21 indicators across 3,144 U.S. counties. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance.
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The Indicators Behind Wayne County's CDI Score
Every number on this page traces to a public source. Full dataset available for download. Hover any metric name for its definition.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| CDI Scoreⓘ | 75.23 / 100 (Serious) | CDI v2 |
| National Rankⓘ | 179th of 3,144 counties (top 6%) | CDI v2 |
| Structural Povertyⓘ | 92.78 / 100 (1st in Missouri, 39th nationally) | CDI v2 |
| Legal Distressⓘ | 80.25 / 100 | CDI v2 |
| Disability Rateⓘ | 29.1% (95th percentile nationally) | ACS 2023 |
| Poverty Rateⓘ | 22.4% | Census SAIPE 2023 |
| Child Poverty Rateⓘ | 32.2% | Census SAIPE 2023 |
| Median Household Incomeⓘ | $41,315 (73.6% of Missouri median) | Census SAIPE 2023 |
| Debt in Collectionsⓘ | 34.4% of residents | Urban Institute 2024 |
| Median debt in collectionsⓘ | $2,479 | Urban Institute 2024 |
| Average weekly wage | $732 ($38,066/year) | BLS QCEW 2024 |
| Bankruptcy Filing Rateⓘ | 222 per 100K (92% Chapter 7) | US Courts 2025 |
| Business establishments | 388 | BLS QCEW 2024 |
| March 2025 tornado | 6 deaths, $3.8M FEMA aid (18 counties) | FEMA / Governor's Office |
Questions About Wayne County's CDI Score
What is Wayne County's CDI score?
Wayne County scores 75.23 (Serious zone) on the County Distress Index, ranking 179th most distressed of 3,144 U.S. counties and 5th of 115 counties in Missouri.
What drives distress in Wayne County?
Wayne County's primary driver is Structural Poverty, where the county scores 92.8 out of 100. The CDI uses PCA-weighted composite scoring across five domains; see the CDI methodology for the full factor weights and indicator list.
Where does Wayne County sit on the national percentile?
Wayne County's CDI score of 75.23 puts it at the 94.3th percentile nationally — more distressed than roughly 94% of U.S. counties. See the full CDI methodology for how percentile ranks translate into the Serious zone.
How often is Wayne County's CDI score updated?
Annually, aligned to Census American Community Survey and Urban Institute Debt in America release windows. Current data was compiled from releases in early 2026; next refresh is scheduled for early 2027.
What is the distress score for Wayne County, Missouri?
Wayne County has a County Distress Index score of 75.2 out of 100, placing it in the Serious zone. It ranks 179th nationally out of 3,144 counties and 5th in Missouri out of 115 counties.
What drives financial distress in Wayne County?
The primary driver of distress in Wayne County is Structural Poverty, where the county scores 92.8 out of 100. This domain is measured by indicators including Unemployment Rate, Poverty Rate, Income vs. State Median.
How does Wayne County compare to neighboring counties?
Wayne County (75.2) can be compared to its 7 neighboring counties: Butler County, MO (70.0); Carter County, MO (67.1); Madison County, MO (63.0).
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
The County Distress Index uses PCA-weighted percentile scoring across five statistically derived factors: Consumer Credit Distress (47.5%), Housing Cost Burden (22.3%), Structural Poverty (13.6%), Economic Vitality (9.2%), and Legal Distress (7.4%). Each county's indicators are ranked against all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 means the county is at the national median; higher scores indicate greater distress.
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