#18 Montana · 2026

Golden Valley County, Montana

33 · low-moderate county distress more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties · 18th of 56 counties in Montana · 835 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
33% Golden Valley residents
vs.
17% U.S. median

Above the national median for child poverty rate — and 13.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Skagway Municipality, AK — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 41 words · paste-ready

Golden Valley County, Montana is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Golden Valley sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Delinquency.

Key Findings
  • 18th of 56 counties in Montana on the County Distress Index — 33 · low-moderate county distress, more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties.
  • 33% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 17%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 32% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Default & Legal domain score 32 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Labor domain score 18 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 69-point drop to Stillwater County marks where the Montana distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Golden Valley County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Golden Valley and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Golden Valley County is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Golden Valley County has a low-moderate county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a low-moderate county distress label. The label comes from the score, while the rank compares the county with the current national cross-section. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 33% of children under 18 in Golden Valley County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

2.9% -0.1 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

20.2% +4.6 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

33.0% +22.7 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

15.0% +2.5 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Golden Valley County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Golden Valley County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Golden Valley County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Golden Valley MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 15 · Rank 2,803 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 16th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 16th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 15% 16% 23% 13th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 32 · Rank 2,301 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 15% 15% 23% 18th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 120 73 126 47th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 50 · Rank 1,508 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 32% 24% 21% 95th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 3% 14% 18% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 18 · Rank 2,761 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 17% 17% 21% 25th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 3% 3% 4% 10th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 88 · Rank 110 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 33% 16% 17% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 18% 16% 16% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 12% 13% 88th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 23% 8% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 88
Weight 20% · Rank 110 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,508 of 3,144
Default & Legal 32
Weight 20% · Rank 2,301 of 3,144
Labor 18
Weight 20% · Rank 2,761 of 3,144
Delinquency 15
Weight 20% · Rank 2,803 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Golden Valley County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 126-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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RYEGATE, Mont. — Golden Valley County is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Golden Valley scores 33 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties; its score label is low-moderate county distress. Within Montana, Golden Valley ranks 18th of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Golden Valley sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Golden Valley County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Golden Valley County scores 33 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties. Its score label is low-moderate county distress. It ranks 18th of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Golden Valley County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 88. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Golden Valley County compare to its neighbors?

Golden Valley County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Musselshell County (71.00, high county distress). Lowest: Stillwater County (2.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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