#2,583 Montana · 2026

Toole County, Montana

Least distressed fifth 2,583rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 5,133 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
28% Toole residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Steele County, ND — 12%).

HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)

Main Findings

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Toole County, Montana ranks 2,583rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Toole sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,583rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Least distressed fifth, 31st in Montana.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 28% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 92nd percentile nationally.
  • Poverty rate at 17% — national median 14%, ranked at the 73rd percentile.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 77th percentile.
  • Labor domain score 8 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. Toole County, Montana and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Toole and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Toole County ranks 2,583rd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Toole County ranks in the least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 25 words

"The CDI places this county in the least distressed fifth nationally. The rank is a comparative geography measure across counties, not a national ADI band."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Toole County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Toole County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Toole County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Toole MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 46 · Rank 1,727 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 3% 5% 77th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 2% 3% 5% 6th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 16% 23% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 6 · Rank 3,106 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 12% 15% 23% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 20 73 126 5th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 48 · Rank 1,608 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 28% 26% 21% 92nd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 6% 14% 18% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 8 · Rank 2,902 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 2% 3% 4% 8th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 48 · Rank 1,648 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 16% 17% 18% 42nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 16% 16% 61st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 13% 14% 73rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 18% 25% 27% 14th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 8% 8% 45th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,608 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,648 of 3,144
Delinquency 46
Weight 20% · Rank 1,727 of 3,144
Labor 8
Weight 20% · Rank 2,902 of 3,144
Default & Legal 6
Weight 20% · Rank 3,106 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Toole County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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SHELBY, Mont. — Toole County ranks 2,583rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 31 out of 100 places Toole in the least distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,582 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Toole ranks 31st of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Toole sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Toole County ranks in the least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Toole County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Toole County scores 31 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the least distressed fifth. It ranks 2,583rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 31st of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Toole County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 48. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 92nd percentile nationally.

How does Toole County compare to its neighbors?

Toole County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Glacier County (72.81, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Liberty County (20.39, Least distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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