#2 New Mexico · 2026

McKinley County, New Mexico

95 · extreme county distress more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties · 2nd of 33 counties in New Mexico · 68,797 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
49% McKinley residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

More than double the national median for subprime credit share.

Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 49 words · paste-ready

McKinley County, New Mexico is more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 49% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — more than double the national median of 23%. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 2nd of 33 counties in New Mexico on the County Distress Index — 95 · extreme county distress, more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties.
  • 49% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 100th percentile nationally. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 42% — national median 21%, ranked at the 99th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Poverty rate at 26% — national median 13%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 50-point drop to Sandoval County marks where the Navajo Nation distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. McKinley County, New Mexico and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
McKinley and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. McKinley County is more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

McKinley County has an extreme county distress score. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 37 words

The CDI gives this county an extreme county distress label. The score is the plain-language signal; the national rank separately shows how the county compares with every other county-equivalent in the release. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 32% of children under 18 in McKinley County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.6% -2.8 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

26.2% -9.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

41.3% +31.1 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

49.1% -11.71 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind McKinley County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. McKinley County's value shown alongside NM's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is McKinley County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator McKinley NM median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 98 · Rank 17 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 14% 5% 5% 99th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 10% 6% 5% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 49% 26% 23% 100th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 52 · Rank 1,464 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 44% 28% 23% 98th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 38 65 126 5th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 69 · Rank 759 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 24% 21% 97th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 19% 18% 41st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 97 · Rank 5 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 42% 27% 21% 99th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 6% 5% 4% 95th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 87 · Rank 127 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 32% 25% 17% 94th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 16% 20% 16% 55th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 26% 18% 13% 97th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 17% 9% 8% 93rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 98
Weight 20% · Rank 17 of 3,144
Labor 97
Weight 20% · Rank 5 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 87
Weight 20% · Rank 127 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 69
Weight 20% · Rank 759 of 3,144
Default & Legal 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,464 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite McKinley County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 129-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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GALLUP, N.M. — McKinley County is more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

McKinley scores 95 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties; its score label is extreme county distress. Within New Mexico, McKinley ranks second of 33 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in McKinley. 49% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — more than double the national median of 23%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is McKinley County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

McKinley County scores 95 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 95% of U.S. counties. Its score label is extreme county distress. It ranks 2nd of 33 New Mexico counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives McKinley County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 98. Subprime credit share ranks at the 100th percentile nationally.

How does McKinley County compare to its neighbors?

McKinley County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Cibola County (95.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Sandoval County (45.00, moderate-low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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