#11 New York · 2026

Herkimer County, New York

57 · moderate county distress more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties · 11th of 62 counties in New York · 59,484 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
4% Herkimer residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Near the national median for unemployment (average of monthly rates) — and 8.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)

Main Findings

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Herkimer County, New York is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 4% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — near the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 11th of 62 counties in New York on the County Distress Index — 57 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties.
  • 4% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at the 67th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 22% — national median 21%, ranked at the 66th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 161 — national median 126, ranked at the 64th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Credit card delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 47-point drop to Lewis County marks where the New York distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Herkimer County, New York and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Herkimer and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Herkimer County is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Herkimer County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.1% -2.1 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.6% +3.9 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

28.7% +19.4 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

22.6% -5.2 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Herkimer County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Herkimer County's value shown alongside NY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Herkimer County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Herkimer NY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 51 · Rank 1,508 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 37th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 71st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 23% 21% 23% 47th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 56 · Rank 1,271 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 19% 23% 48th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 161 108 126 64th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 59 · Rank 1,112 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 22% 21% 66th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 18% 24% 18% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 59 · Rank 1,205 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 21% 20% 21% 51st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 67th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 48 · Rank 1,663 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 16% 17% 56th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 16% 15% 16% 48th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 15% 13% 13% 62nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 4% 8% 18th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,205 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,112 of 3,144
Default & Legal 56
Weight 20% · Rank 1,271 of 3,144
Delinquency 51
Weight 20% · Rank 1,508 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,663 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Herkimer County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 133-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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HERKIMER, N.Y. — Herkimer County is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Herkimer scores 57 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within New York, Herkimer ranks 11th of 62 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Herkimer. 4% of the labor force was unemployed on average from September 2025 to August 2026 — near the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Herkimer County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Herkimer County scores 57 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 11th of 62 New York counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Herkimer County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 59. Unemployment (average of monthly rates) ranks at the 67th percentile nationally.

How does Herkimer County compare to its neighbors?

Herkimer County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Montgomery County (75.00, high county distress). Lowest: Lewis County (28.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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