#11 Pennsylvania · 2026

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania

58 · moderate county distress more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties · 11th of 67 counties in Pennsylvania · 289,234 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
26% Dauphin residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.6× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

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Dauphin County, Pennsylvania is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 26% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 11th of 67 counties in Pennsylvania on the County Distress Index — 58 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 26% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 89th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Credit card delinquency at 6% — national median 5%, ranked at the 66th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt in collections at 26% — national median 23%, ranked at the 61st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Child poverty rate at 18% — national median 17%, ranked at the 55th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 34-point drop to Cumberland County marks where the Pennsylvania distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Dauphin County, Pennsylvania and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Dauphin and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Dauphin County is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Dauphin County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.4% -0.5 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.0% +4.1 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

22.4% +13.5 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

26.9% -1.17 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Dauphin County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Dauphin County's value shown alongside PA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Dauphin County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Dauphin PA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 63 · Rank 1,121 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 59th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 5% 5% 66th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 27% 20% 23% 64th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 55 · Rank 1,291 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 26% 20% 23% 61st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 126 98 126 50th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 79 · Rank 434 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 21% 21% 89th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 19% 18% 70th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 40 · Rank 2,007 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 17% 19% 21% 27th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 53rd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 41 · Rank 1,958 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 15% 17% 55th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 16% 16% 31st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 13% 12% 13% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 6% 6% 8% 36th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 79
Weight 20% · Rank 434 of 3,144
Delinquency 63
Weight 20% · Rank 1,121 of 3,144
Default & Legal 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,291 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 41
Weight 20% · Rank 1,958 of 3,144
Labor 40
Weight 20% · Rank 2,007 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Dauphin County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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HARRISBURG, Pa. — Dauphin County is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Dauphin scores 58 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within Pennsylvania, Dauphin ranks 11th of 67 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Dauphin. A rent-to-income ratio of 26% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Dauphin County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Dauphin County scores 58 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 11th of 67 Pennsylvania counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Dauphin County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 79. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 89th percentile nationally.

How does Dauphin County compare to its neighbors?

Dauphin County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Schuylkill County (51.00, moderate county distress). Lowest: Cumberland County (17.00, very low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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