#5 South Dakota · 2026

Buffalo County, South Dakota

62 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties · 5th of 66 counties in South Dakota · 1,884 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
42% Buffalo residents
vs.
17% U.S. median

More than double the national median for child poverty rate — and 17.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Skagway Municipality, AK — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 52 words · paste-ready

Buffalo County, South Dakota is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 42% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 17%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 5th of 66 counties in South Dakota on the County Distress Index — 62 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties.
  • 42% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 17%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 48% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 44% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Subprime credit share at 45% — national median 23%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI score labels. The 36-point drop to Hand County marks where the Crow Creek distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Buffalo County, South Dakota and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Buffalo and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Buffalo County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Buffalo County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Disability rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Buffalo County's disability rate indicator is at the 27th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 95th percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate and median household income. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Gann Valley.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 42% of children under 18 in Buffalo County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.4% -4.6 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

36.3% -0.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

50.5% +39.1 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

44.9% +5.77 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Buffalo County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Buffalo County's value shown alongside SD's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Buffalo County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Buffalo SD median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 44 · Rank 1,777 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 18th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 19th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 45% 16% 23% 95th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 12 · Rank 2,979 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 13% 13% 23% 12th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 57 57 126 13th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 75 · Rank 548 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 48% 18% 21% 95th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 19% 13% 18% 56th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 75 · Rank 581 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 44% 13% 21% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 2% 4% 55th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 81 · Rank 325 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 42% 13% 17% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 13% 16% 27th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 36% 11% 13% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 43% 8% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 81
Weight 20% · Rank 325 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 75
Weight 20% · Rank 548 of 3,144
Labor 75
Weight 20% · Rank 581 of 3,144
Delinquency 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,777 of 3,144
Default & Legal 12
Weight 20% · Rank 2,979 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Buffalo County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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GANN VALLEY, S.D. — Buffalo County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Buffalo scores 62 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within South Dakota, Buffalo ranks fifth of 66 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Buffalo. 42% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 17%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Buffalo County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Buffalo County scores 62 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 5th of 66 South Dakota counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Buffalo County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 81. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Buffalo County compare to its neighbors?

Buffalo County's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Lyman County (36.00, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Hand County (0.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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