#159 Texas · 2026

Bailey County, Texas

56 · moderate county distress more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties · 159th of 254 counties in Texas · 6,672 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
29% Bailey residents
vs.
8% U.S. median

4× the national median for uninsured rate.

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 49 words · paste-ready

Bailey County, Texas is more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 29% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 159th of 254 counties in Texas on the County Distress Index — 56 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties.
  • 29% of residents lack health insurance (U.S. median 8%). Uninsured rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 29% — national median 21%, ranked at the 88th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Debt in collections at 31% — national median 23%, ranked at the 76th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 38-point drop to Parmer County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Bailey County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Bailey and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Bailey County is more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

Bailey County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Credit card delinquency sits well below the rest of the Delinquency domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to Urban Institute Debt in America (2025), Bailey County's credit card delinquency indicator is at the 5th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Delinquency domain at or above the 71st percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Muleshoe.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 26% of children under 18 in Bailey County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.1% +1.3 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

15.6% -7.2 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

20.5% +13.4 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

28.7% -7.09 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Bailey County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Bailey County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Bailey County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Bailey TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 53 · Rank 1,454 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 84th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 2% 7% 5% 5th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 29% 32% 23% 71st Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 54 · Rank 1,385 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 31% 35% 23% 76th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 90 78 126 31st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 23 · Rank 2,701 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 22% 21% 41st U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 6% 17% 18% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 70 · Rank 739 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 29% 22% 21% 88th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 53rd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 71 · Rank 766 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 26% 20% 17% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 15% 16% 16% 38th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 15% 13% 68th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 29% 17% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 71
Weight 20% · Rank 766 of 3,144
Labor 70
Weight 20% · Rank 739 of 3,144
Default & Legal 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,385 of 3,144
Delinquency 53
Weight 20% · Rank 1,454 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 23
Weight 20% · Rank 2,701 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Bailey County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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MULESHOE, Texas — Bailey County is more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Bailey scores 56 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within Texas, Bailey ranks 159th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Bailey. 29% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Bailey County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Bailey County scores 56 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 56% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 159th of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Bailey County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 71. Uninsured rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Bailey County compare to its neighbors?

Bailey County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Curry County, NM (79.00, high county distress). Lowest: Parmer County (41.00, moderate-low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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