#143 Texas · 2026

Ellis County, Texas

62 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties · 143rd of 254 counties in Texas · 222,829 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
228 Ellis residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

Above the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 31.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

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Ellis County, Texas is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 228 — above the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 143rd of 254 counties in Texas on the County Distress Index — 62 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 228 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 82nd percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Subprime credit share at 32% — national median 23%, ranked at the 80th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 24% — national median 18%, ranked at the 80th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 52nd percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 22-point drop to Johnson County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Ellis County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Ellis and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Ellis County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Ellis County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.8% -1.7 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

7.5% -4.3 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

16.8% +7.6 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

32.0% -5.57 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Ellis County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Ellis County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Ellis County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Ellis TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 72 · Rank 767 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 7% 5% 65th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 72nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 32% 32% 23% 80th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 80 · Rank 413 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 32% 35% 23% 79th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 228 78 126 82nd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 70 · Rank 708 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 22% 21% 60th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 17% 18% 80th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 41 · Rank 1,984 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 18% 22% 21% 30th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 52nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 25 · Rank 2,579 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 10% 20% 17% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 16% 16% 13th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 8% 15% 13% 6th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 15% 17% 8% 89th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 80
Weight 20% · Rank 413 of 3,144
Delinquency 72
Weight 20% · Rank 767 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 70
Weight 20% · Rank 708 of 3,144
Labor 41
Weight 20% · Rank 1,984 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 25
Weight 20% · Rank 2,579 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Ellis County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 125-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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WAXAHACHIE, Texas — Ellis County is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Ellis scores 62 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within Texas, Ellis ranks 143rd of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Ellis. A bankruptcy filing rate of 228 — above the national median of 126.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Ellis County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Ellis County scores 62 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 62% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 143rd of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Ellis County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 80. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 82nd percentile nationally.

How does Ellis County compare to its neighbors?

Ellis County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Henderson County (90.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Johnson County (68.00, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →