#125 Texas · 2026

Falls County, Texas

66 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties · 125th of 254 counties in Texas · 17,286 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
38% Falls residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 47 words · paste-ready

Falls County, Texas is more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 38% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 125th of 254 counties in Texas on the County Distress Index — 66 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties.
  • 38% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 93rd percentile nationally. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 17% — national median 8%, ranked at the 93rd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Debt in collections at 35% — national median 23%, ranked at the 86th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 56th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while subprime credit share runs at the 93rd percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 19-point drop to Milam County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Falls County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Falls and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Falls County is more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Falls County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.1% -0.6 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

18.7% -10.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

31.5% +14 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

38.3% -6.45 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Falls County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Falls County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Falls County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Falls TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 83 · Rank 425 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 80th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 77th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 38% 32% 23% 93rd Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 52 · Rank 1,440 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 35% 35% 23% 86th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 69 78 126 19th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 37 · Rank 2,143 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 22% 21% 59th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 11% 17% 18% 15th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 48 · Rank 1,674 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 19% 22% 21% 41st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 56th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 78 · Rank 451 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 24% 20% 17% 79th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 16% 16% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 15% 13% 83rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 17% 17% 8% 93rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 83
Weight 20% · Rank 425 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 78
Weight 20% · Rank 451 of 3,144
Default & Legal 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,440 of 3,144
Labor 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,674 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 37
Weight 20% · Rank 2,143 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Falls County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 126-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MARLIN, Texas — Falls County is more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Falls scores 66 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within Texas, Falls ranks 125th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in Falls. 38% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Falls County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Falls County scores 66 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 66% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 125th of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Falls County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 83. Subprime credit share ranks at the 93rd percentile nationally.

How does Falls County compare to its neighbors?

Falls County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Bell County (80.00, very high county distress). Lowest: Milam County (61.00, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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