#44 Virginia · 2026

Fredericksburg city, Virginia

67 · moderate-high county distress more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties · 44th of 133 counties in Virginia · 28,928 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
36% Fredericksburg residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 3.6× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

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Fredericksburg city, Virginia is more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 36% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 44th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 67 · moderate-high county distress, more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 36% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 99th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 252 — national median 126, ranked at the 86th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Safety Net & Buffer domain score 34 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI score labels. The 19-point drop to Stafford County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Fredericksburg city, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Fredericksburg city and its 2 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Fredericksburg city is more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Fredericksburg city has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.5% -1.3 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

12.2% +6.1 percentage points since 1989
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.0% -1.84 percentage points since 2014 Q2
Urban Institute 2020 to 2024

Debt in collections

23.8% -8.16 percentage points since 2020

The Indicators Behind Fredericksburg city's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Fredericksburg city's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Fredericksburg city's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Fredericksburg city VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 75 · Rank 676 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 84th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 64th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 31% 25% 23% 78th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 69 · Rank 773 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 22% 23% 52nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 252 177 126 86th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 91 · Rank 139 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 36% 22% 21% 99th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 20% 18% 83rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 33 · Rank 2,279 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 15% 20% 21% 16th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 49th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 34 · Rank 2,250 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 17% 15% 17% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 15% 16% 10th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 12% 13% 42nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 91
Weight 20% · Rank 139 of 3,144
Delinquency 75
Weight 20% · Rank 676 of 3,144
Default & Legal 69
Weight 20% · Rank 773 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 34
Weight 20% · Rank 2,250 of 3,144
Labor 33
Weight 20% · Rank 2,279 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Fredericksburg city data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 130-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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FREDERICKSBURG, Va. — Fredericksburg city is more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Fredericksburg city scores 67 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate-high county distress. Within Virginia, Fredericksburg city ranks 44th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Fredericksburg. A rent-to-income ratio of 36% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Fredericksburg city's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Fredericksburg city scores 67 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 67% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate-high county distress. It ranks 44th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Fredericksburg city's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 91. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 99th percentile nationally.

How does Fredericksburg city compare to its neighbors?

Fredericksburg city's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Spotsylvania County (48.00, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Stafford County (29.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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