#1,221 Virginia · 2026

Grayson County, Virginia

Second-most distressed fifth 1,221st of 3,144 counties nationally · 15,285 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
38% Grayson residents
vs.
27% U.S. median

Above the national median for transfer-income dependency — and 21.4× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Teton County, WY — 2%).

BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)

Main Findings

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Grayson County, Virginia ranks 1,221st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 38% of personal income comes from government transfers — above the national median of 27%.

Key Findings
  • 1,221st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 59th in Virginia.
  • 38% of personal income comes from government transfers (U.S. median 27%). Transfer-income dependency at the 91st percentile nationally.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 83rd percentile.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 9% — national median 5%, ranked at the 89th percentile.
  • Debt in collections at 24% — national median 23%, ranked at the 54th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 31-point drop to Ashe County, NC marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Grayson County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Grayson and its 9 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Grayson County ranks 1,221st of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Grayson County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Grayson County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Grayson County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Grayson County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Grayson VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 55 · Rank 1,406 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 9% 6% 5% 89th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 34th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 21% 25% 23% 40th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 44 · Rank 1,791 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 22% 23% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 98 177 126 35th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 70 · Rank 724 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 22% 21% 83rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 19% 19% 18% 57th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 39 · Rank 1,969 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 3% 4% 39th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 75 · Rank 586 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 18% 18% 73rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 15% 16% 81st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 13% 14% 70th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 38% 28% 27% 91st BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 7% 8% 55th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 75
Weight 20% · Rank 586 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 70
Weight 20% · Rank 724 of 3,144
Delinquency 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,406 of 3,144
Default & Legal 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,791 of 3,144
Labor 39
Weight 20% · Rank 1,969 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Grayson County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 157-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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INDEPENDENCE, Va. — Grayson County ranks 1,221st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 57 out of 100 places Grayson in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,220 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Grayson ranks 59th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Grayson. 38% of personal income comes from government transfers — above the national median of 27%.

"Grayson County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Grayson County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Grayson County scores 57 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 1,221st of 3,144 U.S. counties and 59th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Grayson County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 75. Transfer-income dependency ranks at the 91st percentile nationally.

How does Grayson County compare to its neighbors?

Grayson County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Smyth County (65.48, Second-most distressed fifth). Lowest: Ashe County, NC (34.26, Second-least distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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