#28 Virginia · 2026

Lynchburg city, Virginia

80 · very high county distress more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties · 28th of 133 counties in Virginia · 79,535 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
29% Lynchburg residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 51 words · paste-ready

Lynchburg city, Virginia is more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 29% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 28th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 80 · very high county distress, more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties.
  • 29% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 220 — national median 126, ranked at the 80th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 74th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 36-point drop to Bedford County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Lynchburg city, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Lynchburg city and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lynchburg city is more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Lynchburg city has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 29 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.3% -1.4 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

17.8% +1.6 percentage points since 1989
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

27.5% -4.6 percentage points since 2014 Q2
Urban Institute 2020 to 2024

Debt in collections

25.6% -4.97 percentage points since 2020

The Indicators Behind Lynchburg city's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lynchburg city's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Lynchburg city's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lynchburg city VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 69 · Rank 921 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 71st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 69th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 28% 25% 23% 66th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 69 · Rank 761 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 26% 22% 23% 59th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 220 177 126 80th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 84 · Rank 304 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 72nd U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 29% 20% 18% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 62 · Rank 1,080 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 21% 20% 21% 50th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 74th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 56 · Rank 1,327 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 20% 15% 17% 65th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 15% 16% 29th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 18% 12% 13% 79th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 6% 6% 8% 32nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 84
Weight 20% · Rank 304 of 3,144
Default & Legal 69
Weight 20% · Rank 761 of 3,144
Delinquency 69
Weight 20% · Rank 921 of 3,144
Labor 62
Weight 20% · Rank 1,080 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 56
Weight 20% · Rank 1,327 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lynchburg city data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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LYNCHBURG, Va. — Lynchburg city is more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Lynchburg city scores 80 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties; its score label is very high county distress. Within Virginia, Lynchburg city ranks 28th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Lynchburg. 29% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lynchburg city's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lynchburg city scores 80 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 80% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very high county distress. It ranks 28th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Lynchburg city's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 84. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Lynchburg city compare to its neighbors?

Lynchburg city's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Amherst County (62.00, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Bedford County (26.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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