#1,207 Virginia · 2026

Northumberland County, Virginia

Second-most distressed fifth 1,207th of 3,144 counties nationally · 12,391 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Northumberland residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment — and 21.0× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 0%).

BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)

Main Findings

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Northumberland County, Virginia ranks 1,207th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

Key Findings
  • 1,207th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 57th in Virginia.
  • 6% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 186 — national median 126, ranked at the 71st percentile.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 76th percentile.
  • Transfer-income dependency at 32% — national median 27%, ranked at the 73rd percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 19-point drop to Lancaster County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Northumberland County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Northumberland and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Northumberland County ranks 1,207th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Northumberland County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Northumberland County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Northumberland County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Northumberland County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Northumberland VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 53 · Rank 1,467 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 76th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 47th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 20% 25% 23% 36th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 54 · Rank 1,345 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 20% 22% 23% 37th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 186 177 126 71st US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 39 · Rank 2,022 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 63rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 11% 19% 18% 16th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 95 · Rank 144 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 3% 4% 95th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 43 · Rank 1,833 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 18% 18% 72nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 15% 15% 16% 39th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 13% 14% 38th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 32% 28% 27% 73rd BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 7% 8% 36th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 144 of 3,144
Default & Legal 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,345 of 3,144
Delinquency 53
Weight 20% · Rank 1,467 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,833 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 39
Weight 20% · Rank 2,022 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Northumberland County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 153-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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HEATHSVILLE, Va. — Northumberland County ranks 1,207th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 57 out of 100 places Northumberland in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,206 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Northumberland ranks 57th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Northumberland. 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

"Northumberland County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Northumberland County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Northumberland County scores 57 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 1,207th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 57th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Northumberland County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 95. Unemployment ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Northumberland County compare to its neighbors?

Northumberland County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Westmoreland County (71.95, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Lancaster County (52.95, Middle fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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