Orange County, Virginia
Above the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 30.2× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).
Main Findings
Orange County, Virginia is more distressed than 28% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Orange sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.
- 104th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 28 · low county distress, more distressed than 28% of U.S. counties.
- A bankruptcy filing rate of 220 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 80th percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
- Subprime credit share at 25% — national median 23%, ranked at the 58th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
- Labor domain score 37 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
- Debt Burden (housing basis) domain score 26 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 39-point drop to Madison County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.
Orange County has a low county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.
The CDI gives this county a low county distress label. The score is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.
Indicator History
Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.
Unemployment rate
Poverty rate
Transfer income share
Subprime credit population
The Indicators Behind Orange County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Orange County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Orange | VA median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delinquency — domain score 45 · Rank 1,761 of 3,144 | |||||
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 4% | 6% | 5% | 33rd | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 5% | 6% | 5% | 42nd | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 58th | Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025) |
| Default & Legal — domain score 57 · Rank 1,232 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 19% | 22% | 23% | 34th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 220 | 177 | 126 | 80th | Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025) |
| Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 26 · Rank 2,577 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 17% | 22% | 21% | 15th | U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 16% | 20% | 18% | 38th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Labor — domain score 37 · Rank 2,139 of 3,144 | |||||
| Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) | 19% | 20% | 21% | 37th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) | 4% | 4% | 4% | 37th | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025) |
| Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 23 · Rank 2,662 of 3,144 | |||||
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 11% | 15% | 17% | 19th | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 15% | 15% | 16% | 39th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 8% | 12% | 13% | 12th | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 6% | 6% | 8% | 32nd | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.
Methodology
The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Orange County data.
Draft wire copy 125-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
ORANGE, Va. — Orange County is more distressed than 28% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
Orange scores 28 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 28% of U.S. counties; its score label is low county distress. Within Virginia, Orange ranks 104th of 133 counties and independent cities.
The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Orange sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.
American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Orange County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
What drives Orange County's distress score?
How does Orange County compare to its neighbors?
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
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