#60 Virginia · 2026

Page County, Virginia

59 · moderate county distress more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties · 60th of 133 counties in Virginia · 23,741 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
25% Page residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for adults 25-54 not working — and 12.7× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Thomas County, NE — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

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Page County, Virginia is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 25% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 60th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 59 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties.
  • 25% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working (U.S. median 21%). Adults 25-54 not working at the 75th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Credit card delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 83rd percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 173 — national median 126, ranked at the 68th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Disability rate at 19% — national median 16%, ranked at the 76th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 26-point drop to Madison County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Page County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Page and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Page County is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Page County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.1% -9.2 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

12.2% +0.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

30.5% +19.8 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

22.0% -7.17 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Page County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Page County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Page County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Page VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 58 · Rank 1,259 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 49th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 83rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 22% 25% 23% 44th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 56 · Rank 1,256 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 22% 22% 23% 45th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 173 177 126 68th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 42 · Rank 1,909 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 18% 22% 21% 21st U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 20% 20% 18% 63rd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 68 · Rank 813 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 25% 20% 21% 75th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 61st U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 54 · Rank 1,400 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 16% 15% 17% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 15% 16% 76th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 12% 13% 42nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 51st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 68
Weight 20% · Rank 813 of 3,144
Delinquency 58
Weight 20% · Rank 1,259 of 3,144
Default & Legal 56
Weight 20% · Rank 1,256 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,400 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,909 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Page County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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LURAY, Va. — Page County is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Page scores 59 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within Virginia, Page ranks 60th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Page. 25% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Page County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Page County scores 59 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 60th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Page County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 68. Adults 25-54 not working ranks at the 75th percentile nationally.

How does Page County compare to its neighbors?

Page County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Rappahannock County (35.00, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Madison County (9.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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