#59 Virginia · 2026

Patrick County, Virginia

59 · moderate county distress more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties · 59th of 133 counties in Virginia · 17,509 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
20% Patrick residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 11.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 47 words · paste-ready

Patrick County, Virginia is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 20% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 59th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 59 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties.
  • 20% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 82nd percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 77th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 10% — national median 5%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Default & Legal domain score 47 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 91st percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 68-point drop to Floyd County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Patrick County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Patrick and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Patrick County is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Patrick County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Uninsured rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Patrick County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 24th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 66th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Stuart.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.7% -0.9 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

16.6% +4.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

40.1% +31.2 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

17.5% -9.34 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Patrick County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Patrick County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Patrick County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Patrick VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 60 · Rank 1,222 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 10% 6% 5% 91st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 66th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 17% 25% 23% 23rd Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 47 · Rank 1,693 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 21% 22% 23% 44th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 126 177 126 50th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 43 · Rank 1,855 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 21% 22% 21% 50th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 16% 20% 18% 37th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 64 · Rank 989 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 26% 20% 21% 77th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 52nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 66 · Rank 944 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 20% 15% 17% 66th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 15% 16% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 12% 13% 74th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 6% 8% 24th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 66
Weight 20% · Rank 944 of 3,144
Labor 64
Weight 20% · Rank 989 of 3,144
Delinquency 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,222 of 3,144
Default & Legal 47
Weight 20% · Rank 1,693 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,855 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Patrick County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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STUART, Va. — Patrick County is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Patrick scores 59 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within Virginia, Patrick ranks 59th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Patrick. 20% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Patrick County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Patrick County scores 59 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 59% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 59th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Patrick County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 66. Disability rate ranks at the 82nd percentile nationally.

How does Patrick County compare to its neighbors?

Patrick County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Henry County (83.00, very high county distress). Lowest: Floyd County (15.00, very low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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