#99 Virginia · 2026

Prince William County, Virginia

33 · low-moderate county distress more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties · 99th of 133 counties in Virginia · 489,640 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
22% Prince William residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 44 words · paste-ready

Prince William County, Virginia is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Prince William sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 99th of 133 counties in Virginia on the County Distress Index — 33 · low-moderate county distress, more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties.
  • 22% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 75th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 150 — national median 126, ranked at the 60th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 10% — national median 8%, ranked at the 66th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Labor domain score 26 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span five CDI score labels. The 41-point drop to Loudoun County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Prince William County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Prince William and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Prince William County is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Prince William County has a low-moderate county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a low-moderate county distress label. The label comes from the score, while the rank compares the county with the current national cross-section. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.2% +0.9 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

6.6% +3 percentage points since 1989
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

22.6% -7.87 percentage points since 2014 Q2
Urban Institute 2020 to 2024

Debt in collections

17.0% -6.56 percentage points since 2020

The Indicators Behind Prince William County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Prince William County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Prince William County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Prince William VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 45 · Rank 1,739 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 49th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 40th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 23% 25% 23% 46th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 43 · Rank 1,853 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 17% 22% 23% 27th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 150 177 126 60th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 72 · Rank 632 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 70th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 20% 18% 75th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 26 · Rank 2,514 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 16% 20% 21% 19th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 4% 4% 34th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 16 · Rank 2,877 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 8% 15% 17% 7th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 9% 15% 16% 2nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 12% 13% 3rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 10% 6% 8% 66th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 72
Weight 20% · Rank 632 of 3,144
Delinquency 45
Weight 20% · Rank 1,739 of 3,144
Default & Legal 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,853 of 3,144
Labor 26
Weight 20% · Rank 2,514 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 16
Weight 20% · Rank 2,877 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Prince William County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 129-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MANASSAS, Va. — Prince William County is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Prince William scores 33 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties; its score label is low-moderate county distress. Within Virginia, Prince William ranks 99th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Prince William sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Prince William County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Prince William County scores 33 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 33% of U.S. counties. Its score label is low-moderate county distress. It ranks 99th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Prince William County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 72. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 75th percentile nationally.

How does Prince William County compare to its neighbors?

Prince William County's neighbors span 5 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Manassas city (44.00, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Loudoun County (3.00, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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