#3 West Virginia · 2026

McDowell County, West Virginia

94 · extreme county distress more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties · 3rd of 55 counties in West Virginia · 17,439 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
54% McDowell residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

More than double the national median for adults 25-54 not working — and 26.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Thomas County, NE — 2%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 50 words · paste-ready

McDowell County, West Virginia is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 54% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working — more than double the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor and its lowest is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 3rd of 55 counties in West Virginia on the County Distress Index — 94 · extreme county distress, more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties.
  • 54% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working (U.S. median 21%). Adults 25-54 not working at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Child poverty rate at 42% — national median 17%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 32% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Credit card delinquency at 9% — national median 5%, ranked at the 89th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 21-point drop to Mercer County marks where the WV coalfields distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. McDowell County, West Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
McDowell and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. McDowell County is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

McDowell County has an extreme county distress score. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 37 words

The CDI gives this county an extreme county distress label. The score is the plain-language signal; the national rank separately shows how the county compares with every other county-equivalent in the release. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 42% of children under 18 in McDowell County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

9.9% -3.5 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

38.4% +5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

52.2% +33.6 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.2% -6.97 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind McDowell County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. McDowell County's value shown alongside WV's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is McDowell County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator McDowell WV median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 77 · Rank 609 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 65th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 9% 7% 5% 89th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 31% 26% 23% 78th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 52 · Rank 1,442 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 40% 28% 23% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 52 69 126 10th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 86 · Rank 252 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 32% 21% 21% 95th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 23% 17% 18% 77th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 95 · Rank 14 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 54% 28% 21% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 11% 5% 4% 95th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 88 · Rank 111 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 42% 21% 17% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 30% 19% 16% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 38% 17% 13% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 6% 8% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 14 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 88
Weight 20% · Rank 111 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 86
Weight 20% · Rank 252 of 3,144
Delinquency 77
Weight 20% · Rank 609 of 3,144
Default & Legal 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,442 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite McDowell County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 130-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 130 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

WELCH, W.Va. — McDowell County is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

McDowell scores 94 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties; its score label is extreme county distress. Within West Virginia, McDowell ranks third of 55 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in McDowell. 54% of adults aged 25 to 54 are not working — more than double the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is McDowell County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

McDowell County scores 94 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 94% of U.S. counties. Its score label is extreme county distress. It ranks 3rd of 55 West Virginia counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives McDowell County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 95. Adults 25-54 not working ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does McDowell County compare to its neighbors?

McDowell County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Mingo County (96.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Mercer County (75.00, high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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