#9 Connecticut · 2026

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Connecticut

18 · very low county distress more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties · 9th of 9 counties in Connecticut · 176,215 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
22% Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 51 words · paste-ready

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Connecticut is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 9th of 9 counties in Connecticut on the County Distress Index — 18 · very low county distress, more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties.
  • 22% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 74th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 57th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Default & Legal domain score 25 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Delinquency domain score 17 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Connecticut and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 28 words

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region has a very low county distress score. The rank and domain mix show where the county still sits in the national cross-section.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a very low county distress label. The rank is still reported because low score intensity and relative position are different measures. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.4% -0.5 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

7.2% +2.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

15.8% +9.6 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

14.9% -3.99 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's value shown alongside CT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region CT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 17 · Rank 2,738 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 4% 5% 14th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 5% 5% 24th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 15% 19% 23% 12th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 25 · Rank 2,608 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 14% 18% 23% 15th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 96 105 126 34th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 72 · Rank 657 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 25% 21% 69th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 26% 18% 74th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 35 · Rank 2,177 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 14% 17% 21% 14th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 57th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 6 · Rank 3,076 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 7% 13% 17% 4th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 12% 16% 13th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 10% 13% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 3% 5% 8% 4th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 72
Weight 20% · Rank 657 of 3,144
Labor 35
Weight 20% · Rank 2,177 of 3,144
Default & Legal 25
Weight 20% · Rank 2,608 of 3,144
Delinquency 17
Weight 20% · Rank 2,738 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 6
Weight 20% · Rank 3,076 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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MIDDLETOWN, Conn. — Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region scores 18 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties; its score label is very low county distress. Within Connecticut, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region ranks ninth of 9 planning regions.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region scores 18 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 18% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very low county distress. It ranks 9th of 9 Connecticut planning regions. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 72. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 74th percentile nationally.

How does Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region compare to its neighbors?

Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: South Central Connecticut Planning Region (55.00, moderate county distress). Lowest: Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region (37.00, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →