#44 Top 100 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Clay County, Kentucky

Most distressed fifth 44th of 3,144 counties nationally · 19,648 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
407 Clay residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

3× the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 55.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

US Courts F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

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Clay County, Kentucky ranks 44th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 407 — more than double the national median of 126.

Key Findings
  • 44th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Most distressed fifth, 4th in Kentucky.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 407 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Unemployment at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 90th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 29% — national median 21%, ranked at the 93rd percentile.
  • Child poverty rate at 54% — national median 18%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
County Distress Index cluster map. Clay County, Kentucky and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Clay and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Clay County ranks 44th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Clay County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 29 words

"The CDI places this county in the most distressed fifth nationally. The rank is the important geography signal: it compares the county with every other county-equivalent in the release."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Uninsured rate sits well below the rest of the safety_net_buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Clay County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 13th percentile — while every other indicator in the safety_net_buffer domain sits at or above the 95th percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate and disability rate. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Manchester.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 54% — 3.0× the national median

54% of children under 18 in Clay County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Clay County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Clay County's value shown alongside KY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Clay County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Clay KY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 68 · Rank 952 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 58th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 50th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 39% 28% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 94 · Rank 61 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 39% 29% 23% 94th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 407 243 126 95th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 90 · Rank 158 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 29% 20% 21% 93rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 25% 18% 18% 87th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 90 · Rank 312 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 4% 4% 90th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 85 · Rank 232 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 54% 22% 18% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 28% 21% 16% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 37% 17% 14% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 56% 34% 27% 95th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 6% 8% 13th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 94
Weight 20% · Rank 61 of 3,144
Labor 90
Weight 20% · Rank 312 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 90
Weight 20% · Rank 158 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 85
Weight 20% · Rank 232 of 3,144
Delinquency 68
Weight 20% · Rank 952 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Clay County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 147-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MANCHESTER, Ky. — Clay County ranks 44th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 85 out of 100 places Clay in the most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 43 rank more distressed. Within Kentucky, Clay ranks fourth of 120 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Clay. A bankruptcy filing rate of 407 — more than double the national median of 126.

"Clay County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Clay County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Clay County scores 85 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the most distressed fifth. It ranks 44th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 4th of 120 Kentucky counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Clay County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 94. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Clay County compare to its neighbors?

Clay County's neighbors span 1 CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Bell County (87.77, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Perry County (74.31, Most distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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