#12 New York · 2026

Jefferson County, New York

57 · moderate county distress more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties · 12th of 62 counties in New York · 114,787 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
25% Jefferson residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 10%).

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)

Main Findings

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Jefferson County, New York is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 25% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 12th of 62 counties in New York on the County Distress Index — 57 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 25% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 84th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 76th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
  • Subprime credit share at 26% — national median 23%, ranked at the 59th percentile. Source: Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025).
  • Poverty rate at 14% — national median 13%, ranked at the 52nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 38-point drop to Lewis County marks where the New York distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Jefferson County, New York and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Jefferson and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Jefferson County is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Jefferson County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.5% -4.2 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.5% +2.6 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

23.5% +11.8 percentage points since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

25.5% -9.66 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Jefferson County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Jefferson County's value shown alongside NY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Jefferson County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Jefferson NY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 49 · Rank 1,614 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 4% 5% 44th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 43rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 26% 21% 23% 59th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 43 · Rank 1,882 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 22% 19% 23% 45th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 109 108 126 41st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 76 · Rank 523 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 25% 22% 21% 84th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 21% 24% 18% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 63 · Rank 1,068 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 21% 20% 21% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 76th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 42 · Rank 1,896 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 16% 17% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 15% 15% 16% 39th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 14% 13% 13% 52nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 6% 4% 8% 25th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 76
Weight 20% · Rank 523 of 3,144
Labor 63
Weight 20% · Rank 1,068 of 3,144
Delinquency 49
Weight 20% · Rank 1,614 of 3,144
Default & Legal 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,882 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 42
Weight 20% · Rank 1,896 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Jefferson County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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WATERTOWN, N.Y. — Jefferson County is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Jefferson scores 57 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within New York, Jefferson ranks 12th of 62 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Jefferson. A rent-to-income ratio of 25% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Jefferson County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Jefferson County scores 57 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 12th of 62 New York counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Jefferson County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 76. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 84th percentile nationally.

How does Jefferson County compare to its neighbors?

Jefferson County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Oswego County (66.00, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Lewis County (28.00, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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