#73 Top 100 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Vance County, North Carolina

Most distressed fifth 73rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 42,301 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
42% Vance residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Vance County, North Carolina ranks 73rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

Key Findings
  • 73rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Most distressed fifth, 4th in North Carolina.
  • 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 97th percentile nationally.
  • Child poverty rate at 37% — national median 18%, ranked at the 97th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 84th percentile.
  • Debt in collections at 41% — national median 23%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while subprime credit share runs at the 97th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. The 17-point drop to Granville County marks where the northern Piedmont NC distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Vance County, North Carolina and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Vance and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Vance County ranks 73rd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Vance County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 29 words

"The CDI places this county in the most distressed fifth nationally. The rank is the important geography signal: it compares the county with every other county-equivalent in the release."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 37% — 2.1× the national median

37% of children under 18 in Vance County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Vance County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Vance County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Vance County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Vance NC median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 97 · Rank 32 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 11% 7% 5% 96th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 11% 7% 5% 97th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 42% 28% 23% 97th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 79 · Rank 467 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 41% 27% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 156 87 126 62nd US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 81 · Rank 372 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 22% 21% 84th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 23% 19% 18% 78th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 71 · Rank 910 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 3% 4% 71st BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 90 · Rank 63 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 37% 21% 18% 97th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 17% 16% 75th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 23% 15% 14% 93rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 39% 30% 27% 91st BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 13% 10% 8% 81st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 97
Weight 20% · Rank 32 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 90
Weight 20% · Rank 63 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 81
Weight 20% · Rank 372 of 3,144
Default & Legal 79
Weight 20% · Rank 467 of 3,144
Labor 71
Weight 20% · Rank 910 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Vance County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 147-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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HENDERSON, N.C. — Vance County ranks 73rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 83 out of 100 places Vance in the most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 72 counties rank more distressed. Within North Carolina, Vance ranks fourth of 100 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in Vance. 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

"Vance County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vance County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Vance County scores 83 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the most distressed fifth. It ranks 73rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 4th of 100 North Carolina counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Vance County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 97. Subprime credit share ranks at the 97th percentile nationally.

How does Vance County compare to its neighbors?

Vance County's neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Warren County (73.37, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Granville County (56.38, Second-most distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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