#4 Tennessee · 2026

Shelby County, Tennessee

96 · extreme county distress more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties · 4th of 95 counties in Tennessee · 910,042 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
704 Shelby residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

6× the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 96.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 45 words · paste-ready

Shelby County, Tennessee is more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 704 — more than double the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal and its lowest is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 4th of 95 counties in Tennessee on the County Distress Index — 96 · extreme county distress, more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 704 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 100th percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 12% — national median 5%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 26% — national median 18%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Child poverty rate at 30% — national median 17%, ranked at the 92nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 97th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 55-point drop to Fayette County marks where the Memphis TN distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Shelby County, Tennessee and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Shelby and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Shelby County is more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

Shelby County has an extreme county distress score. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 39 words

The CDI gives this county an extreme county distress label. The score is the plain-language signal; the national rank separately shows how the county compares with every other county-equivalent in the release. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Disability rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024), Shelby County's disability rate indicator is at the 21st percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 55th percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Memphis.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 30% of children under 18 in Shelby County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.6% +0.1 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

19.0% -0.9 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

19.5% +12.9 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

38.9% -5.26 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Shelby County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Shelby County's value shown alongside TN's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Shelby County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Shelby TN median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 94 · Rank 104 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 12% 6% 5% 97th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 9% 6% 5% 91st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 39% 26% 23% 94th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 97 · Rank 11 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 40% 28% 23% 94th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 704 216 126 100th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 85 · Rank 283 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 24% 22% 21% 78th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 26% 17% 18% 91st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 65 · Rank 937 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 22% 24% 21% 59th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 72nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 66 · Rank 934 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 30% 19% 17% 92nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 13% 19% 16% 21st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 14% 13% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 12% 10% 8% 79th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 97
Weight 20% · Rank 11 of 3,144
Delinquency 94
Weight 20% · Rank 104 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 85
Weight 20% · Rank 283 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 66
Weight 20% · Rank 934 of 3,144
Labor 65
Weight 20% · Rank 937 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Shelby County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 127-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 127 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

MEMPHIS, Tenn. — Shelby County is more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Shelby scores 96 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties; its score label is extreme county distress. Within Tennessee, Shelby ranks fourth of 95 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Shelby. A bankruptcy filing rate of 704 — more than double the national median of 126.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Shelby County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Shelby County scores 96 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 96% of U.S. counties. Its score label is extreme county distress. It ranks 4th of 95 Tennessee counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Shelby County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 97. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 100th percentile nationally.

How does Shelby County compare to its neighbors?

Shelby County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Crittenden County, AR (99.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Fayette County (44.00, moderate-low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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