#360 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Duval County, Texas

Most distressed fifth 360th of 3,144 counties nationally · 9,604 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
43% Duval residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

More than double the national median for child poverty rate — and 13.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

Census SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

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Duval County, Texas ranks 360th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 43% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%.

Key Findings
  • 360th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Most distressed fifth, 30th in Texas.
  • 43% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Credit card delinquency at 12% — national median 5%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 76th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while credit card delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. The 23-point drop to McMullen County marks where the South Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Duval County, Texas and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Duval and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Duval County ranks 360th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Duval County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 29 words

"The CDI places this county in the most distressed fifth nationally. The rank is the important geography signal: it compares the county with every other county-equivalent in the release."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 43% — 2.4× the national median

43% of children under 18 in Duval County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Duval County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Duval County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Duval County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Duval TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 92 · Rank 160 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 85th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 12% 7% 5% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 47% 32% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 50 · Rank 1,538 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 50% 35% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 21 78 126 5th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 50 · Rank 1,552 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 22% 21% 95th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 2% 17% 18% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 76 · Rank 775 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 76th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 95 · Rank 3 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 43% 22% 18% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 23% 16% 16% 92nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 29% 15% 14% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 46% 26% 27% 95th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 22% 17% 8% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 3 of 3,144
Delinquency 92
Weight 20% · Rank 160 of 3,144
Labor 76
Weight 20% · Rank 775 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,552 of 3,144
Default & Legal 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,538 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Duval County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 152-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 152 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

SAN DIEGO, Texas — Duval County ranks 360th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 72 out of 100 places Duval in the most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 359 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, Duval ranks 30th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Duval. 43% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%.

"Duval County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Duval County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Duval County scores 72 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the most distressed fifth. It ranks 360th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 30th of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Duval County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 95. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Duval County compare to its neighbors?

Duval County's neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Jim Wells County (80.61, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: McMullen County (58.08, Second-most distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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from Ross →