#562 Texas · 2026

Karnes County, Texas

Most distressed fifth 562nd of 3,144 counties nationally · 15,018 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
36% Karnes residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 34 words · paste-ready

Karnes County, Texas ranks 562nd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 36% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

Key Findings
  • 562nd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Most distressed fifth, 63rd in Texas.
  • 36% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 90th percentile nationally.
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 25% — national median 18%, ranked at the 89th percentile.
  • Poverty rate at 24% — national median 14%, ranked at the 94th percentile.
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 55th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 32-point drop to Wilson County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Karnes County, Texas and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Karnes and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Karnes County ranks 562nd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Karnes County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 29 words

"The CDI places this county in the most distressed fifth nationally. The rank is the important geography signal: it compares the county with every other county-equivalent in the release."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Transfer-income dependency sits well below the rest of the safety_net_buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Karnes County's transfer-income dependency indicator is at the 10th percentile — while every other indicator in the safety_net_buffer domain sits at or above the 52nd percentile. The gap stands out against poverty rate and uninsured rate. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Karnes City.

The Indicators Behind Karnes County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Karnes County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Karnes County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Karnes TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 84 · Rank 396 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 83rd Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 80th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 36% 32% 23% 90th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 50 · Rank 1,513 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 41% 35% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 40 78 126 6th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 83 · Rank 300 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 25% 22% 21% 78th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 25% 17% 18% 89th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 55 · Rank 1,459 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 55th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 68 · Rank 867 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 26% 22% 18% 84th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 16% 16% 63rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 24% 15% 14% 94th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 16% 26% 27% 10th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 16% 17% 8% 91st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 84
Weight 20% · Rank 396 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 83
Weight 20% · Rank 300 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 68
Weight 20% · Rank 867 of 3,144
Labor 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,459 of 3,144
Default & Legal 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,513 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Karnes County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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KARNES CITY, Texas — Karnes County ranks 562nd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 68 out of 100 places Karnes in the most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 561 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, Karnes ranks 63rd of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in Karnes. 36% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

"Karnes County ranks in the most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The five-domain profile shows where local household pressure is most concentrated," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Karnes County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Karnes County scores 68 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the most distressed fifth. It ranks 562nd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 63rd of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Karnes County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 84. Subprime credit share ranks at the 90th percentile nationally.

How does Karnes County compare to its neighbors?

Karnes County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Bee County (78.95, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Wilson County (46.88, Middle fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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