#31 Texas · 2026

Uvalde County, Texas

86 · very high county distress more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties · 31st of 254 counties in Texas · 24,960 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
15% Uvalde residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

3× the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 50 words · paste-ready

Uvalde County, Texas is more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency and its lowest is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 31st of 254 counties in Texas on the County Distress Index — 86 · very high county distress, more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties.
  • 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 99th percentile nationally. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 19% — national median 8%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Adults 25-54 not working at 28% — national median 21%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Debt in collections at 39% — national median 23%, ranked at the 93rd percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 99th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 44-point drop to Bandera County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Uvalde County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Uvalde and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Uvalde County is more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

Uvalde County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 26 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024), 29% of children under 18 in Uvalde County live below the federal poverty line, versus 17% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.3% -8.2 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

19.5% -15.7 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

30.5% +20.3 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

35.5% -7.07 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Uvalde County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Uvalde County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Uvalde County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Uvalde TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 92 · Rank 153 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 15% 7% 5% 99th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 9% 7% 5% 88th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 35% 32% 23% 89th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 53 · Rank 1,430 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 39% 35% 23% 93rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 56 78 126 12th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 51 · Rank 1,452 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 27% 22% 21% 90th U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 10% 17% 18% 13th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 78 · Rank 495 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 28% 22% 21% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 5% 4% 4% 72nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 86 · Rank 163 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 29% 20% 17% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 16% 16% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 15% 13% 86th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 19% 17% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 92
Weight 20% · Rank 153 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 86
Weight 20% · Rank 163 of 3,144
Labor 78
Weight 20% · Rank 495 of 3,144
Default & Legal 53
Weight 20% · Rank 1,430 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 51
Weight 20% · Rank 1,452 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Uvalde County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
Draft wire copy 130-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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UVALDE, Texas — Uvalde County is more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Uvalde scores 86 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties; its score label is very high county distress. Within Texas, Uvalde ranks 31st of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in Uvalde. 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uvalde County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Uvalde County scores 86 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 86% of U.S. counties. Its score label is very high county distress. It ranks 31st of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Uvalde County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 92. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 99th percentile nationally.

How does Uvalde County compare to its neighbors?

Uvalde County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Zavala County (94.00, extreme county distress). Lowest: Bandera County (50.00, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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