#13 Arizona · 2026

Maricopa County, Arizona

58 · moderate county distress more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties · 13th of 15 counties in Arizona · 4,585,871 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
24% Maricopa residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)

Main Findings

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Maricopa County, Arizona is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties on the County Distress Index. The driver: 24% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis) and its lowest is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 13th of 15 counties in Arizona on the County Distress Index — 58 · moderate county distress, more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties.
  • 24% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 82nd percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 186 — national median 126, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 6% — national median 5%, ranked at the 61st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment (average of monthly rates) at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 56th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI score labels. The 29-point drop to Yavapai County marks where the Phoenix metro distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Maricopa County, Arizona and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Maricopa and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Maricopa County is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties. American Default Research
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Maricopa County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Sep 22, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.8% -0.5 percentage points since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

10.4% -1.5 percentage points since 1989
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

16.1% +8.9 percentage points since 1969
Equifax data retrieved via FRED 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

25.0% -7.46 percentage points since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Maricopa County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Maricopa County's value shown alongside AZ's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Maricopa County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Maricopa AZ median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 59 · Rank 1,246 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 61st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 60th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 26% 23% 56th Equifax data retrieved via FRED (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 63 · Rank 996 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 26% 23% 55th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 186 128 126 71st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 76 · Rank 527 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 24% 21% 71st U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents (FY2027); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 18% 18% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Labor — domain score 48 · Rank 1,703 of 3,144
Adults 25-54 not working Share of adults aged 25 to 54 without a job, leaving out residents of prisons and other institutions (service members count as working) 19% 27% 21% 39th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Unemployment (average of monthly rates) Share of labor force unemployed, averaged over the monthly rates published for September 2025 to August 2026 (no figures published for October 2025) 4% 5% 4% 56th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (monthly rates averaged, September 2025 to August 2026; no figures published for October 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 30 · Rank 2,389 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 13% 20% 17% 28th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 16% 16% 16th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 10% 15% 13% 26th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 11% 8% 70th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2024)
Compiled September 30, 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2024, SAIPE 2024, Business Formation Statistics 2025), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS August 2026, QCEW 2025), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2027).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 76
Weight 20% · Rank 527 of 3,144
Default & Legal 63
Weight 20% · Rank 996 of 3,144
Delinquency 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,246 of 3,144
Labor 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,703 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 30
Weight 20% · Rank 2,389 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index scores household financial distress from 0 to 100 for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A county's score is the share of U.S. counties it is more distressed than. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the five domains are averaged, and that average is ranked against every other county to give the score.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), Equifax data retrieved via FRED (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2024 to 2027 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Maricopa County data.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · media inquiries welcome
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PHOENIX, Ariz. — Maricopa County is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

Maricopa scores 58 out of 100, which means it is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties; its score label is moderate county distress. Within Arizona, Maricopa ranks 13th of 15 counties.

The index, which draws on 14 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Maricopa. 24% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Maricopa County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Maricopa County scores 58 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, which means it is more distressed than 58% of U.S. counties. Its score label is moderate county distress. It ranks 13th of 15 Arizona counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Maricopa County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 76. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 82nd percentile nationally.

How does Maricopa County compare to its neighbors?

Maricopa County's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Gila County (79.00, high county distress). Lowest: Yavapai County (50.00, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI averages 14 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer, then ranks that average against every other county, so the score is the share of U.S. counties a county is more distressed than. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Ross Kilburn is the former COO of Ark Law Group, a foreclosure defense firm serving five states. He founded Seattle Short Sales, wrote Short Sale Your Home, and worked as a mortgage loan originator and real estate agent. He founded American Default Research in 2026.

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